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Patreon Poll for the Weekend of March 22 (Patreon)

Published:
2024-03-22 15:00:07
Edited:
2024-03-28 19:05:07
Imported:
2024-04
Tags:

Poll

Patreon Poll for the Weekend of March 22

  • OUT IN THE COLD: Below $35M 178
  • RAY'S OCCULT: $36M - $39M 324
  • THE GHOST OF EGON: $39.5M (THE BULLSEYE) 135
  • GO PUFT YOURSELF: $40M - $45M 163
  • TELL 'EM ABOUT THE TWINKIE: $46M+ 62
  • 2024-03-21
  • 862 votes
{'title': 'Patreon Poll for the Weekend of March 22', 'choices': [{'text': 'OUT IN THE COLD: Below $35M', 'votes': 178}, {'text': "RAY'S OCCULT: $36M - $39M", 'votes': 324}, {'text': 'THE GHOST OF EGON: $39.5M (THE BULLSEYE)', 'votes': 135}, {'text': 'GO PUFT YOURSELF: $40M - $45M', 'votes': 163}, {'text': "TELL 'EM ABOUT THE TWINKIE: $46M+", 'votes': 62}], 'closes_at': None, 'created_at': datetime.datetime(2024, 3, 21, 13, 44, 13, tzinfo=datetime.timezone.utc), 'description': None, 'allows_multiple': False, 'total_votes': 862}

Content

Hey gang, well it's gonna be a WILD time at the movies this weekend as we see the release of yet another dreadful-looking Ghostbusters legacy sequel, along with a film that just may (if we're lucky?) revive the nunsploitation genre, so... hooray?!

While we hope Immaculate does well for our friends at NEON, we gotta focus this weekend's poll on Ghostbusters: Frozen Empire, a film that, up until yesterday when Steve told me otherwise, I could've sworn was at least directed by Jason Reitman, but no! Helmed by Ghostbusters: Afterlife co-writer, Gil Kenan, this will now be only the second time a Ghostbusters film was directed by someone outside the Reitman blood line.

To give Kenan some credit, a few of his previous directorial efforts include Monster House, which was fun enough, and the Poltergeist remake from 2015 that I thought was pretty decent. But the fact that this new story appears to really bump up the presence of the old cast leads me to believe this movie is in danger of simply being a real "we listened to Reddit"-type Rise of Skywalker film and, yeah, no thanks.

ANYWAY, I'll save my rambling on the film itself for Monday's On-Screen Live, but let's stick to the box office for now, shall we?

Now, a couple things to consider here, one being that Frozen Empire is set to replace Dune: Part Two on many PLF (Premium Large Format) screens like Dolby & RPX auditoriums, and of course, IMAX. So that means higher ticket prices flooding in for this one. Not that it's a complete barometer here, but a cursory glance at the pre-sales at my local theater, the AMC Lincoln Square on Manhattan's Upper West Side, is showing some real so-so numbers going into the weekend. I'm writing this up on Thursday, so perhaps there's real day-of/walk-up potential here? "Hey, man, what are you doing today? Oh, absolutely nothing? Wanna see that new Ghostbusters movie?" — It could happen!

Another thing to consider is that Dune: Part Two will be going into its fourth weekend at the cinema, and Kung Fu Panda 4 is going into its third. Both films are expected to drop ~44% from last weekend's haul, so this could signal a primo time for Frozen Empire to come in and gobble up a real big piece of box office real estate.

Is it possible that Immaculate, which I'm already seeing some reviews calling Benedetta-lite, will pull some older, OG Ghostbusters fans away from Frozen Empire to instead experience some real spooky stuff? Well, Frozen Empire is going on ~4300 screens and while I couldn't find a number on Immaculate's screen count, I'm certain it's nowhere near that high, so even if, yeah, it won't matter.

Frozen Empire is currently forecasted to pull in something in the range of $35M - $45M, with that 3-day total looking like it could fall somewhere around $39.5M.

So with all that in mind, what are we thinking for the first weekend of Ghostbusters: Frozen Empire, folks? Vote below and we'll see where we stand this coming Monday on an all-new On-Screen Live!

Have a great weekend at the movies, y'all!

Andrew

Comments

Cody Downs

Fasten your sheet belts, Andrew: my ESP is showing a GO PUFT YOURSELF of $40-45 mil & that number of 40 will hold. As in, a 40% drop the 2nd week.

Isaac Coleman

I want to believe that this will crater but I think nothing will alienate the hardcore Ghostbusters fans at this point, I'm also regretfully voting GO PUFT YOURSELF.

Scott Goldfarb

As someone who went to to see it last night at the AMC Lincoln Square Dolby last night (verdict: fine, don't have a desire to ever rewatch, bogged down in exposition about things that I do not give a fuck about), I can attest that the Dolby theater there was really packed and it does seem like people who are going to the AMC's to see this seem to mostly be going for the Dolby theater screenings and not the regular 2D screenings. It does seem to indicate that it's mostly the hardcore fans who are really hitting this hard, as looking at the NYC Alamo Drafthouse showings today have all three showing it doing gangbusters over there and that's the theater chain for the hardcore geeks out there. That, combined with the Thursday previews being just above Afterlife's Thursday previews number, makes me think it'll hit just at the same level or just slightly above Afterlife's $44 million opening.

Gearóid Harrahill

Given the loyalty usually enjoyed by the GB brand especially when this time we know for sure the original cast are present, I was surprised to see no hype for this film and I'd forgotten it was coming out until I saw that it had. I'm guessing box office overall will be "more than you'd think, less than you'd hope".

Kureigu

Comes out in uk tomorrow, not sure yet if I'll go then or at later date.

Aaron Rabiroff

GB has a much stronger pull as a horror/lore brand (instead of a comedy brand) then I can aesthetically understand but I don't see why it doesn't do at least as well as Afterlife domestically, that seems like its floor at least, which should give it around $40m opening

Daniel Hood

I really hope it gets left out in the cold and have it flop like several 2023 nostalgia bait shit did.

Kyle Martinak

I think Andrew makes a lot of good points for why it's going to about $40-42m. Panda and Dune are going to drop hard, and this is Spring Break weekend for a lot of families.

Vincent Guereca

I'd hope it'd bomb, but, it probably won't, so, "The Ghost of Egon" for my vote

Frank Grimes

Ray's occult is my vote

Brad Mull

Out in the cold for me. I just don’t see the audience attendance for this opening weekend when they can still see dune or panda in theatres.

Eren Keskin

I'll go with a balanced $39.5M.

Bo

America is generally dumb. This thing will do better business than it should.

Justin Genova

I feel like it has to be under $35 mil, because who could possibly care? But the advertising has been everywhere, so maybe it ends up doing well.

imipolexGforce

saw it because i am a masochist and it. is. terrible. Kumail Namjiani is (surprisingly) the best part of the movie. Paul Rudd comes off like he’s reading queue cars during an SNL skit. it is a movie for babies, if you want to kill a bunch of babies with something that even they know is insulting their intelligence.

Bryan Deiman

I think it’s going to do better than expected, even though it looks to be on par with the fake Tugg Speedmqn vehicle, “Scorcher IV”.

I.C. Weiner

I'm tired of missing on these polls and Andrew making fun of me on Monday, so I'm changing my answer in light of the Saturday update

Frank Grimes

Made 45M. Color me surprised.

Clint Rivas

Let's fucken do this GBs!

Lana Diesel

I don't get why we're doing polls all of a sudden. Did one of you attend a Patreon webinar where they told you doing polls increases subscriber engagement by X% or something?