Recap + Wednesday Slate + Extra Play Tonight (Patreon)

Hey gang.

+5.3u today on UCL. Muller got 0 play time so a nice void there too!

Nice day. Reminder I already posted my UCL plays but will repost here. I'm also adding one more play tonight. 1u for me. Starts in about 4 hours.

I know some of y'all saw my tweet this morning. I had a good friend pass away late last night so I'll post still but bear with me this week. Thanks everyone and good job on your bets today!

Play tonight

Tigres v Columbus Crew. Over 2.5 goal -125. 8:45pm ET. CONCACAF.

• Score Predicción. 2-1/2-2 Tigres slight lean

Here's my UCL for tomorrow:

4/10 Slate:

PARIS SAINT-GERMAIN vs. BARCELONA | 4/10 | 3 p.m. ET
Picks

• Score Prediction. 1-1

• Draw +275 (one unit)

• Barcelona Double Chance -120 (one unit)

• Kylian Mbappe First Goalscorer +270 (one unit)

We are in for a wild tie between the Giant of Paris as they host Barcelona in the first leg of a Champions League quarterfinal. PSG have been, like a lot of clubs right now, dealing with a plethora of issues off the pitch, most noticeably issues with star Kylian Mbappe. He has made his intentions to leave the club very clear, and the fight between him and management has been loud. Even with the tough situations at Paris, Mbappe has still been world-class.

Like all the matchups, this matchup is one where home-field advantage is going to play a massive role. I believe that both PSG and Barcelona will put together their best performances at home, so PSG know they need to produce a result in the first leg. The club has been doing fine domestically, sitting top of the table by 10 points with only one loss this season, but it has been picking up some rough draws this season and will be on tired legs with three matches in the last week. But the question is, Can anyone stop Mbappe?

While PSG continue their domestic domination, Barcelona haven't had quite that level of success. Another club that is drawing more than it would like, Barcelona are second in the La Liga table seven points behind rival Real Madrid. They'll be the more rested squad, but manager Xavi wouldn't hate a draw in the first leg, knowing they get to come back to Spain in the second. Led by Robert Lewandowski on attack with the young sensation Lamine Yamal seemingly getting better each and every match, Barcelona will be keen on escaping this first leg without dropping the goal deficit in what should be a cagey and fun first leg at Parc des Princes. 

Atletico v Dortmund Picks and Analysis

• Score Prediction. 2-1 Atleti

Picks:

Atletico over 1.5 TT. -105. 1u

Alvaro Morata ATGS +115. 1u

Analysis:

The theme continues in Champions League of home-field advantage meaning everything here. In this match we have two of the most dominate teams on the planet, but specifically when they play at their home stadium. Atletico when playing at Cities Metropolitan Stadium have only sen a single loss all season long. Atletico when playing on the road are struggling to string together positive results, but you can bet when at home, they are and should be the favorites regardless of their opponent. We’ll see the same thing out of Dortmund in the second leg, but right now Dortmund’s game-plan should be survive this first leg, then bounce back in the second leg.

Atletico Madrid are a club that historically were able to boast about their iron-like defense, however, not this season. Led by the attacking duo of Antione Greizmann and Alvaro Morata, this is a team that has been out for plug and are scoring goals freely. The duo have a combined 25 goals and 7 assists this season, and when they are healthy, are a threat to the best backlines in Europe. Knowing that they have to travel to Dortmund in the second leg, I’m expecting them to attack early, and try to grab multiple goals in the process.

While Dortmund are certainly riding the high of taking down German giants Bayern Munich, we saw what happens when their focus shifts. An embarrassing 1-0 loss to Stuttgart was not what this club needing before their big UCL clash. They still have tremendous attacking talent, but I don’t know if we’ll see that in full effect. I expect Dortmund to do their best to keep things close. Even if they lost by 1 goal in the first leg, that wouldn’t be the worst result for a club who will look to dominate in that second leg.