📈THE NBA DYNASTY REPORT - October 27, 2023📈 (Patreon)

We've seen all 30 NBA teams in action over the last three days - so here's stats and notes on 54 of the league's top fantasy prospects.

If you want to see more of these writeups, give them a LIKE below. They take a lot of time, but if you enjoy them, I'll keep them coming.

Jalen Johnson

21 PTS | 1-3 3PT | 7 REB | 2 AST | 2 STL | 1 BLK | 8-10 2PT | 29 MIN

🔸Smart dynasty managers saw Johnson’s breakout coming - giving him a Dynasty ADP inside the top 100 in preseason startup drafts - but if Johnson can be this dominant at the rim (6 for 7) and maintain the rebound and defensive stat rates we saw last year, he could be the biggest dynasty breakout of the season.

Cade Cunningham

30 PTS | 4-9 3PT | 3 REB | 9 AST | 1 STL | 1 BLK | 9-18 2PT | 36 MIN

🔸We’ve been touting Cade in dynasty circles as a top 10 asset for over two years and THIS is why - fully healthy, stronger and dominating in the mid-range and from three. The Cade breakout is upon us.

Scottie Barnes

17 PTS | 1-4 3PT | 8 REB | 5 AST | 2 STL | 5 BLK | 5-12 2PT | 4-6 FT | 37 MIN

🔸What does a Scottie Barnes breakout look like? He’s 14-18 (77.7%) at the rim across the preseason and this season opener and has racked up 6 steals and 10 blocks in those four games. Add in the big minutes and big on-ball role and I see a huge season ahead.

Tyrese Maxey

31 PTS | 3-8 3PT | 4 REB | 8 AST | 2 STL | 7-14 2PT | 8-10 FT | 40 MIN

🔸This is why I held Maxey so high in my dynasty rankings through a “slow” 22-23 season. On a team without James Harden, Maxey is a fantasy superstar who will hold a massive role. Harden may return, but your faith in Maxey as an elite dynasty asset should not waiver.

Xavier Tillman

17 PTS | 1-5 3PT | 12 REB | 4 AST | 3 STL | 1 BLK | 6-11 2PT | 2-2 FT | 34 MIN

🔸 I touted Tillman as a must-roster player in all formats after the Adams’ injury news dropped but even I didn’t see this coming. Tillman is a willing 3PT shooter and a plus passer for a big but his contributions as an offensive rebounder and 90th percentile steal rate are what could make him special this season and beyond.

Dereck Lively II

16 PTS | 10 REB | 1 AST | 1 STL | 1 BLK | 7-8 2PT | 2-3 FT | 31 MIN

🔸Didn’t start but then plays 31 minutes?! I’ve ranked Lively aggressively high in my rookie and dynasty rankings since he landed in Dallas and this debut validates everything (at least for one night). A beautiful partnership with Luka awaits - one of the biggest winners of the night.

Cam Thomas

36 PTS | 2-5 3PT | 3 REB | 2 AST | 1 STL | 11-16 2PT | 8-11 FT | 45.2 USG% | 25 MIN

🔸 No, this isn’t sustainable shooting or usage, but Cam playing this many minutes with the Nets fully healthy is a big development that tracks what we heard in preseason. Went 5-5 at the rim after making a huge leap there last season.

Jalen Duren

17 PTS | 14 REB | 4 AST |  4 BLK | 8-11 2PT | 1-3 FT | 32 MIN

🔸Duren’s chemistry with Cade is undeniable and the passing flashes we saw last season popped up again here. Most importantly, 32 minutes and no overlap with Bagley or Wiseman.

Alperen Şengün

14 PTS | 0-1 3PT | 8 REB | 6 AST | 6-10 2PT | 2-4 FT | 28 MIN

🔸Şengün was the Rockets’ best offensive player AND continued his impressive defensive improvement from the preseason. Udoka is bringing the best out of Alperen so far.

Mark Williams

13 PTS | 15 REB | 1 AST | 3 STL | 1 BLK | 5-6 2PT | 3-3 FT | 30 MIN

🔸Hornets were a team-best +19 with Williams on the floor, the minutes were great, and the best part of his fantasy game - a solid steal rate and decent free throw shooting - came through again. Hornets are 7-3 when Williams plays 28+ minutes - he’s really good.

Victor Wembanyama

15 PTS | 3-5 3PT | 5 REB | 2 AST | 2 STL | 1 BLK | 3-4 2PT | 0-1 FT | 23 MIN

🔸Limited by foul trouble but this being a “bad game” for Victor shows how absurd the stat set is. 15-17 (88%) at the rim and 10-27 (37%) from three across preseason and this game.

Franz Wagner

19 PTS | 3-7 3PT | 3 REB | 2 AST | 1 STL | 2-4 2PT | 6-6 FT | 27 MIN

🔸A great opener for Franz hidden by the low minutes caused by the blowout score. Double his free throw and 3PT shooting rates in this game relative to last season - which is exactly the kind of offensive aggression which will lead to a breakout season.

Jalen Williams

16 PTS | 2-6 3PT | 3 REB | 5 AST | 1 STL | 3-5 2PT | 4-4 FT | 32 MIN

🔸Williams’ 6 three point attempts matches his career-high and is exactly the kind of growth we want to see in Year 2. JDub’s star trajectory is undeniable.

Evan Mobley

10 PTS | 0-0 3PT | 6 REB | 1 AST | 2 BLK | 5-11 2PT | 34 MIN

🔸It’s just one game but this not what we hoped for in Year 3 (and with Allen out). 2-5 at the rim and didn’t get to the free throw line once. Let’s hope for a bounceback today against OKC.

Chet Holmgren

11 PTS | 2-3 3PT | 4 REB | 3 AST | 1 STL | 2-4 2PT | 1-3 FT | 25 MIN

🔸A muted regular season debut after a phenomenal preseason. Chet is now 8-15 (53.3%) from three across his last five games. Holmgren vs. Mobley is a must-watch tonight.

Scoot Henderson

11 PTS | 0-3 3PT | 3 REB | 4 AST | 5-8 2PT | 1-1 FT | 36 MIN

🔸Scoot warmed up after a brutal first half. Love to see the big minutes - better days are coming very soon.

Josh Giddey

16 PTS | 2-3 3PT | 6 REB | 6 AST | 5-11 2PT | 32 MIN

🔸Giddey’s improvement at the rim fueled his growth as a scorer last year but improved 3PT shooting would take him to whole different level in fantasy. Keep an eye on Giddey’s 3PT volume.

Paolo Banchero

12 PTS | 0-1 3PT | 5 REB | 5 AST | 1 STL | 3-5 2PT | 6-7 FT | 28 MIN

🔸Paolo has only attempted five threes across four games so far - albeit in limited minutes. I’d love to see the assist rate grow this year - the Magic are at their best when Paolo is playmaking.

Ausar Thompson

4 PTS | 1-2 3PT | 7 REB | 3 AST | 5 BLK | 0-5 2PT | 27 MIN

🔸Ausar won’t go 0-4 at the rim very often and the rest of this line is why we love him as a fantasy prospect. He’s quietly 5-12 (41.6%) from three across the preseason and this game.

Jabari Smith Jr.

7 PTS | 0-4 3PT | 5 REB | 1 AST | 1 STL | 3-5 2PT | 1-2 FT | 26 MIN

🔸Like most of the Rockets, this game was a flop for Jabari after he looked great in the preseason. I think he bounces back tonight against the Spurs who he torched for 20 PTS in 24 minutes on October 18.

Keegan Murray

15 PTS | 4-9 3PT | 8 REB | 1 AST | 1 STL | 2 BLK | 1-4 2PT | 1-1 FT | 30 MIN

🔸Keegan was a strong rebounder and racked up significant defensive stats at Iowa. If we can see more of these kinds of lines to pair with his excellent 3PT contributions, we have a fantasy star.

Amen Thompson

8 PTS | 1-7 3PT | 5 REB | 2 AST | 2-3 2PT | 1-2 FT | 21 MIN

🔸The Rockets were -34 (!) with Amen on the floor against the Magic but I love to see Amen shooting the three confidently (even if it didn’t go in). Once it clicks for Amen, he’s going to be a fantasy superstar.

Immanuel Quickley

24 PTS | 5-7 3PT | 6 REB | 4 AST | 1 STL | 2-4 2PT | 5-6 FT | 28 MIN

🔸Continuing where he left off last regular season (let’s forget about the playoffs). I continue to believe that Quickley is a future starting PG who can put up top 50 fantasy seasons in the future. It may not be in New York, but it’s coming.

Jonathan Kuminga

12 PTS | 6 REB | 1 AST | 2 STL | 1 BLK | 4-8 2PT | 4-6 FT | 20 MIN

🔸Foul trouble kept his minutes down but the big takeaway is that he closed the game and looks like he’s earned Kerr’s trust in this rotation. Continued his trend of getting to the rim at will and finishing with strength (4-5) and the steal and block rates from the second half last year seem to be real.

Jeremy Sochan

🔸15 PTS | 2-4 3PT | 8 REB | 5 AST | 1 STL | 2-8 2PT | 3-6 FT | 29 MIN

2 of 6 at the rim led to a rough shooting night but the trend of improving rebound and assist rates and three point shooting volume continued. I’m very optimistic on where Sochan is headed this season.

Shaedon Sharpe

14 PTS | 1-6 3PT | 6 REB | 3 AST | 1 STL | 5-8 2PT | 1-1 FT | 28 MIN

🔸Sharpe’s cold streak from three continued from the preseason (5 for 27 in five games) but he’s finishing strong at the rim (9-12 in his last two games) and the growth in AST and STL rates seems to be sticking from his strong finish in March/April.

Brandon Miller

13 PTS | 3-7 3PT | 3 REB | 2 AST | 2-2 2PT | 25 MIN

🔸This is the 3PT shooting volume we want to see. His minutes will be suppressed until the inevitable Hayward injury but expect a strong second half of the season.

Bennedict Mathurin

18 PTS | 2-6 3PT | 4 REB | 5 AST | 2 STL | 4-9 2PT | 4-4 FT | 25 MIN

🔸The Pacers were white-hot against the Wizards and Mathurin was no exception. The assists, steals and 3PT volume are the big takeaways here - this is the stat set we want to see from Mathurin.

Cole Anthony

20 PTS | 1 3PT | 8 REB | 2 AST | 7-10 2PT | 3-3 FT | 24 MIN

🔸A great season-debut coming off his contract extension - Anthony is likely stuck as ORL’s third guard but remains one of the most underrated fantasy prospects in the league with his plus rebounding and shot blocking from the guard position. I think he’ll have a run as a starter somewhere in the future.

Keyonte George

8 PTS | 1-3 3PT | 2 REB | 2 AST | 2-2 2PT | 1-1 FT | 19 MIN

🔸An efficient (73.5 TS%) debut for George who should takeover as this team’s starting PG soon unless THT and Kris Dunn improve dramatically in the next couple weeks.

Jalen Green

10 PTS | 0-1 3PT | 1 REB | 0 AST | 1 STL | 1 BLK | 2-9 2PT | 6-7 FT | 30 MIN

🔸I’ve seen a lot of dynasty managers panicking on Green after this awful performance and I’m going to preach patience. This is a new offense and a new set of expectations from a new coach. Once Green learns how to vary his pace and use his blinding speed to his full advantage, he could be one of the most explosive scorers in the league.

Onyeka Okongwu

7 PTS | 4 REB | 2 AST | 19 MIN

🔸Foul trouble limited him but we didn’t see any minutes at PF like was teased in the preseason. HOLD and expect that more minutes are coming.

Jaden Ivey

4 PTS | 0-2 3PT | 2 REB | 3 AST | 1-5 2PT | 2-3 FT | 17 MIN

🔸I think Monty Williams is trying to shape Ivey into a winning player and break some of the bad habits that developed last season when he had a full green light on the worst team in the NBA. HOLD Ivey where you have him and buy low where you don’t.

Cason Wallace

13 PTS | 3-3 3PT | 2 REB | 1 AST | 1 BLK | 2-2 2PT | 19 MIN

🔸Love to see Wallace playing ahead of Micic and having such an efficient debut. The defensive tape through preseason was awesome and this kid should be playing ahead of Lu Dort at least by start of next season.

Paul Reed

3 PTS | 0-1 3PT | 4 REB | 2 AST | 1 BLK | 1-1 2PT | 1-2 FT | 12 MIN

🔸A straight backup to Embiid with no overlap minutes at PF. Still, if we get consistent minutes from Paul Reed, his per-minute production will still make him fantasy relevant. I’m holding and looking forward to some big STL + BLK lines in the future.

Moses Moody

11 PTS | 2-4 3PT | 3 REB | 3 STL | 1 BLK | 2-2 2PT | 1-2 FT | 18 MIN

🔸Moody’s shooting is very real - but the defensive stats are the big swing skill for him that could push up his fantasy game. We’ll need more minutes from him as well, but a great start to Year 3.

Ousmane Dieng

9 PTS | 3-5 3PT | 2 REB | 14 MIN

🔸Dieng developed into a high volume 3PT shooter in the G League last year and that development has carried over to his minutes for the Thunder. The forgotten lottery pick has a bright future and is locked into the Thunder rotation going forward.

Dyson Daniels

6 PTS | 0-1 3PT | 5 REB | 2 STL | 1 BLK | 3-5 2PT | 19 MIN

🔸I hoped for more minutes with the Pels so depleted but Daniels is at least putting up big steal numbers (eight steals in his last three games) and is showing improvement as a rim finisher. Let’s hope he can stick in the rotation as New Orleans gets healthier.

Peyton Watson

3 PTS | 1-3 3PT | 1 BLK | 11 MIN

🔸There was some doubt about him being in the rotation so we’ll take the 11 minutes and we love the three point volume. Expect Watson’s role and game to grow dramatically as the season goes on.

Christian Braun

5 PTS | 0-1 3PT | 3 REB | 2 AST | 1 BLK | 2-4 2PT | 1-2 FT | 19 MIN

🔸Braun has a solid floor as a rotation wing but I’ve yet to see anything in his fantasy game to make him a target in dynasty formats.

Andrew Nembhard

12 PTS | 0-1 3PT | 4 REB | 10 AST | 6-8 2PT | 22 MIN

🔸Nembhard’s stock is rising with TJ McConnell out of the rotation in this opening game, but he remains on the roster fringe in shallow dynasty formats because there’s no path for starter’s minutes on a healthy IND depth chart.

Bilal Coulibaly

3 PTS | 1-1 3PT | 4 REB | 3 AST | 3 BLK | 23 MIN

🔸Didn’t start but his defense is sorely needed on this horrible Wizards’ team. Expect the minutes to creep up in the coming weeks - love those blocks!

Bones Hyland

17 PTS | 3-8 3PT | 3 AST | 3-3 2PT | 2-2 FT | 22 MIN

🔸Bones is in the rotation and should have some big scoring games at points this season. If he plays winning basketball, there’s still a chance for him to become a starter in his prime - I just don’t know if he’ll ever be playable defensively.

Quentin Grimes

11 PTS | 3-6 3PT | 1 REB | 1-1 2PT | 0-1 FT | 23 MIN

🔸If RJ is going to play this much and Quickley is going to play this well, it’s hard for Grimes to get enough minutes to be fantasy relevant. Still waiting on some steals production and it might just never happen.

Toumani Camara

7 PTS | 2-2 3PT | 2 REB | 1 AST | 1 BLK | 0-3 2PT | 1-2 FT | 16 MIN

🔸Earned Billups’ trust in the preseason and played over Kris Murray and Jabari Walker. I loved Camara’s stat set coming out of Dayton and he should be added in all deep formats because this Blazers team is going to play a lot of garbage time.

Jarace Walker

4 REB | 1 STL | 0-4 2PT | 6 MIN

🔸Out of the rotation and blocked by Toppin and Nesmith for PF minutes. Maybe he overtakes Jalen Smith as the backup center, but the short-term outlook is bleak. Do not panic - do not sell - Walker remains a top long-term asset.

Jaden Springer

0 PTS | 0-1 3PT | 2 BLK | 5 MIN

🔸Looks like the 10th man in this rotation without Harden, but his impact as a defensive disruptor should earn him more opportunities in Nick Nurse’s defensive scheme. Stash him wherever you can.

AJ Griffin

2 PTS | 2 REB | 10 MIN

🔸In the rotation but on the fringe. I’m still buying him long-term and this wasn’t surprising after a slow preseason.

MarJon Beauchamp

4 PTS | 0-1 3PT | 2 REB | 2-2 2PT | 16 MIN

🔸Solid minutes with Middleton limited but I remain skeptical about Beauchamp’s viability as a fantasy player. Need to see some steals from this defense-first prospect.

JT Thor

5 PTS | 1-3 3PT | 2 REB | 1 AST | 20 MIN

🔸In the rotation, as expected, and the minutes will be there while Cody Martin is out but we need to see some defensive stats to make him interesting for fantasy purposes.

Gradey Dick

1 AST | 0-1 FGA | 2 MIN

🔸A surprising appearance and then a quick hook. I don’t think he’s in the rotation for now but his shooting is needed on this team.

Taylor Hendricks

1 PTS | 1 REB | 2 MIN

🔸Out of the rotation and had a very quiet preseason. I haven’t lost faith in him long-term though - at this time last year, Hendricks was a freshman at UCF with no draft hype - give him some time.

Kobe Bufkin

DNP-CD

🔸Bufkin struggled in the preseason and, unsurprisingly, was not in the rotation on Opening Night with Snyder going with a tight 9-man rotation. I still like Kobe long-term and think he’ll earn minutes later this season.

Brandin Podziemski

DNP-CD

🔸Podziemski had a strong preseason, received heaps of praise from Steve Kerr, and looks like he has more playmaking ability than we saw at Santa Clara. I remain very bullish on him and we could see Podz in the rotation when CP3 misses time this year.