Favorite Regional Bets This Week (Patreon)

I'm not a pro gambler and in fact, I'm not that great at it. I am better on the regional scene betting though and that's what I'll focus on. The lines I always use are from BetOnline. 

LFA 133, Friday

Riley Wiseman (-105) vs Jacobi Jones

Jacobi Jones is a fade for me. His gas tank is poor and defensively has a lot of issues. Jones was submitted very easily in his last fight and Wiseman has four submissions across two fights as a pro and two fights as an amateur. Wiseman also has submission wins deep in the second and third round. Can't side with Jones until he proves a lot more. Wiseman just seems like a bad match-up for him.

Llorrvic Acevedo (+110) vs Aasin Liberato

I'd cap Acevedo around -150 to -165. I would cap it higher but both guys are young pros. Watching the tape on Liberato I wasn't impressed with anything. At least with Acevedo, he has good size and a slick submission game. On the mat defensively I don't see Liberato matching. Acevedo also is quicker and has better footwork and trains out of FactoryX. I'm fairly confident in him.

Trey Waters (+325) vs Ben Bennett

I like Bennett and think he has a bright future possibly but Waters at +325 is insane. I've scouted Waters and was really impressed. He has good striking/kickboxing with feints/fakes and knows how to use his range. Waters could also make Bennett pay when shooting takedowns cause he has a dangerous front choke. Waters doesn't have near the experience but it's not like Bennett has looked great. He's good everywhere but not great. Waters is underrated and worth a stab for sure.

Oktagon 33, Saturday

Losene Keita (+140) vs Ivan Buchinger

I'm not surprised at all to see Keita as a dog. He's the young inexperienced guy coming in that has yet to prove himself. Buchinger, on the other hand, has fought a bunch of high-level fighters. Buchinger has forty-six pro fights and Keita only has eight. It's a huge step up in competition for Keita but I'm a prospect guy and I know of these two very well. Buchinger is more experienced but also 36-years-old whereas Keita is just 24. Buchinger is still legit but the side is the younger more dangerous prospect.

Parlay of the week:

Sal Guerriero -300
Haris Talundzic -307
Logan Urban -500
Gerald Scott -500

At +155 I can't see any of these guys losing. The only worry is if the guy Haris is fighting is a killer where there is no tape on him. He'd have to be pretty darn good to beat Haris and there is no indication that would happen.