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Great to have been proactive – remember, I started the week with an 18% cash position and transitioned to cash in anticipation of the summer decline over the past 2-3 months.

  1. US Treasuries Inflows: Inflows into US Treasuries on track for a record year, with $127 billion inflows in 2023.
  2. Mixed Asset Movement: Cash funds attracted $20.5 billion, while $6.9 billion flowed into bonds in the week through August 9; US stocks had an outflow of $1.6 billion.
  3. Buoyant Demand for Bonds: Despite past predictions of a bond rally and economic slowdown, demand for fixed-income markets remains strong. Yield on 10-year US Treasuries at around 4.09%, up from a low of 3.25% in April.
  4. Money-Market Funds Surge: Investors flocking to money-market funds for higher rates as Federal Reserve continues rate hikes, pushing total value of money-market funds to an all-time high.
  5. Fed Tightening Impact: Aggressive tightening cycle by the Federal Reserve in recent years caused losses in bond holdings, while equity markets have remained strong due to robust corporate earnings.
  6. Market Outlook: Bank of America strategist Hartnett anticipates cost of capital to remain elevated without a significant recession, potentially impacting stocks; previous bearish outlook on stocks for 2023 has not yet materialized.

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Comments

Anonymous

Sincere thanks for helping me stay in higher than normal cash position esp over last month when it seemed like everything was just gonna keep going up! Nibbled some but got plenty amd waiting...

Anonymous

Should i just hold crypto stocks and Tesla at this point? Is the equities run over for the next few months (seems what everyone is forecasting)

Anonymous

since firechat i know..not mr gervais…so i keep calling you king james or the goat 😎

Anonymous

So much to learn to keep up with stocks and shares. I have to reverse engineer as I went fully into crypto first. Does anyone recommend Saxo as its the only one with options in the UK or should I just buy Tesla shares on eToro?

Anonymous

It seems that a majority of investors are heavy in cash, waiting for a crash. But with so many people itching to put their cash to work, do you suspect many will enter the market too early, thus artificially propping up the markets, and in turn creating the soft landing?

Anonymous

I have got dry powder