Russia-Ukraine Flash Report for 5-14-22 17:45 PDT - A Quiet Day (Patreon)

Russian forces only attempted two small offensive operations in the last 24 hours - both failed. Many other analysts are aligning with our assessment that Russia lost up to a brigade of combat power at Bilohorivka over a 4 to 5-day period. Reminder, "lost" in the military sense, not the civilian sense - so combat power reduced by 30% or more.

Additional details we're learning, Russian OPSEC was so bad for the bridging attempt that up to four brigades of Ukrainian troops were waiting south of the Siverskyi Donets River - 14,000 soldiers. Even if they had made the crossing, they never had a chance.

Another thing we're learning, the additionally lost tanks from May 13 may not have been involved in another failed offensive but intentionally driven into the river to prevent them from being captured. We can't verify these claims, but it falls into the realm of possibilities. None of the submerged tanks show the turret hatches in the open position, which goes against the narrative.

What's fascinating is that some influential Pro-Russian social media accounts are not accepting the Kremlin narrative anymore and have become highly critical of the failed offensive. Some of their followers are questioning their authenticity and accuracy because the losses at Bilohorivka are so bad and impossible to cover up.

In an act that can only be described as pure 100% copium, the Russian Ministry of Defense released a video showing a Ukrainian pontoon bridge being destroyed, claiming it happened on May 14. The video is accurate but old. It shows the bridge built at Protopopivka, which was destroyed almost a week ago.

On the subject of Protopopivka, Ukrainian military leaders finally admitted to one of the worst-kept military secrets in Ukraine - that Ukrainian forces are hindering the Russian Ground Line of Communication on the western flank of the Izyum offense and have liberated an "undisclosed" area northwest of Izyum.

Bilohorivka may be the turning point that collapsed the Russian offensive across every axis.