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特朗普任期的最大外交遺產之一,在於以「印太」戰略取代亞太戰略,到了第一任任期最後階段,龐培奧依然馬不停蹄,希望深化這些遺產。

近月美國的印太大動作,很難想像這是一個沒有信心連任的政府所做出來:

- 龐佩奥與國防部長埃斯帕與印度總理莫迪會面,與印度簽署互相分享衛星資訊的協議,目標是防禦導彈、無人機;

- 龐佩奥出訪斯里蘭卡、馬爾代夫,並宣布在馬爾代夫建立第一間美國領事館,以堵截中國的「債務陷阱外交」(debt-trap diplomacy)

- 國防部將超過20億美元的哈本導彈(Harpoon missiles)賣給台灣,令北京宣佈制裁包括波音在內的三間美國國防承包商

- 美國海軍部長Braithwaite出使日本、新加坡、關島、帛琉等國,台灣邦交國帛琉直言希望美國能在自己的小島上建立基地,以對北京作最基本防禦

然而目前各項消息均顯示,若拜登在大選獲勝,民主黨將謀求縮減未來的國防預算。屬進步派的Jayapal已表明,縮減國防預算會是進步黨團(Progressive Caucus)的首要目標。而對印太各國而言,假如美國不具體承擔防務,實在沒有信心和中國周旋。拜登的政策,是希望整合盟友力量,給予中國「共同壓力」,問題是美國也要提出足夠誘因,讓這些盟友合作。特朗普被批評為得失盟友,這主要在歐盟方面,但其實美國在印太的傳統盟友經過過去四年,關係並沒有生疏,反而更形緊密。

Reference: https://foreignpolicy.com/2020/10/29/trump-indo-pacific-strategy-could-outlast-him-pompeo-esper-india-china-election-biden/

Comments

salt water

龐貝奧以肯定連任的態度工作,只是美國人願意與否?

Wendy Lam

Why not? I thought people are only ABT . Don't tell me they are also ABP😁😁. There are also other good candidates if you don't like Pompeo such as Pence or Ted Cruz. I personally prefer Pence.

Elaine Yip

龐佩奧也是現今值得國際欣賞的政治人物, 積極維繫亞太聯盟和穩定未來局勢作好準備。

Fish

非洲點睇?我覺得隨著中東開始穩定,美國應該都會對非洲嗰班見錢開見嘅中國盟友出手。

Pickles

A little different perspective, "Asia re-engagement policy" started with the Obama administration as he aware the up-coming challenge is from China. This has become consensus of US foreign policy now. Also most of what Pompeo did in Asia started within the last six months, one can say it serves dual purpose, continue the established China policy and also for re-election purpose. For both party, it is only a degree of paler grey.