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How to Think about Lockdowns [Q&A with Grey]

‣ Thank you, my Patrons, for making this video possible: https://patreon.com/cgpgrey ‣ Discuss this video: https://www.reddit.com/r/cgpgrey ## Related Videos Weekend Wednesday: https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=ALaTm6VzTBw ## Crowdfunders Bob Kunz, John Buchan, Nevin Spoljaric, Donal Botkin, BN-12, Chris Chapin, Richard Jenkins, Phil Gardner, Martin, Steven Grimm, سليمان العقل, David F Watson, Colin Millions, Saki Comandao, Ben Schwab, Jason Lewandowski, Marco Arment, Shantanu Raj, rictic, emptymachine, George Lin, Henry Ng, Thunda Plum, Awoo, David Tyler, Fuesu, iulus, Jordan Earls, Joshua Jamison, Nick Fish, Nick Gibson, Tyler Bryant, Zach Whittle, Oliver Steele, Kermit Norlund, Kevin Costello, Derek Bonner, Derek Jackson, Mikko , Orbit_Junkie, Ron Bowes, Tómas Árni Jónasson, Bryan McLemore, Alex Simonides, Felix Weis, Melvin Sowah, Christopher Mutchler, Giulio Bontadini, Paul Alom, Ryan Tripicchio, Scot Melville, Bear, chrysilis, David Palomares, Emil, Erik Parasiuk, Esteban Santana Santana, Freddi Hørlyck, John Rogers, Leon, Peter Lomax, Rhys Parry, ShiroiYami, Tristan Watts-Willis, Veronica Peshterianu, Dag Viggo Lokøen, John Lee, Maxime Zielony, Julien Dubois, Elizabeth Keathley, Nicholas Welna ## Music David Rees: http://www.davidreesmusic.com

Comments

Anonymous

You say handshakes will be gone for you at least, so I guess the next question is: how do you think you'll communicate that going forward and how do you think it'll be taken by others? Or do you think you'll just avoid situations where handshakes are a thing?

Anonymous

Monopoly < Settlers of Catan < Machi Koro < Valeria Card Kingdoms. Thoughts? It seems silly, but I feel very strongly about this

Anonymous

Why not go for walks and just stay distant?

Anonymous

Also came to my mind immediately. Outside there is a constant breeze that will quickly disperse any aerosols. And sunlight will quickly break down the virus. So a hike in the woods should be no risk at all.

Cerity

Sunlight breaks down the virus... so explain why during both winter in the Southern Hemisphere, and severe heat waves in the northern hemisphere COVID-19 marches on unabated... dismissing a 3% death rate ☣️

DrEEsky

My son and I play a LOT of cribbage! I learned it from my British Grandmother and now we all play it. A great game for any lockdown!

Anonymous

He lives in the middle of London. Apparently he doesn’t consider the risks of getting to the woods and back worth it

Dave Nattriss

3% of *known* cases. Many cases are asymptomatic and therefore not known.

Dave Nattriss

Indeed, there are hundreds of better games than Catan. See https://www.boardgamegeek.com

Anonymous

Hey, I do like Catan - I just meant that those specific four games have very similar mechanics, and that's how I'd rate them in terms of design

Kenna

Glad to find someone else of the mindset that the "new" normal is going to look pretty much like the "old" normal. Granted, how long it takes to get back depends a lot on your personal job security, but people will return to living their lives just as they did before. Humans are good at that.

Abandon Ambition (formerly Zelaphas)

Re: When will you next get on a plane - For me, not until there's a vaccine or proven treatment (I know they're discovering new treatments that are working well for many people, but not all people). We took a trip earlier this summer and we didn't even want to risk being on a train with others and drove down instead.

Anonymous

I'm also interested in this answer. So far, I've polled some friends, the most practical methods I've seen are to choose gestures which are already in use, so that the other person has a better chance of understanding that they're being greeted. Doesn't matter if neither I nor the person I'm meeting are Japanese, and we're not in Japan, there's a good chance they'll recognise that the polite hands-by-your-sides bend-at-the-waist bow, is a greeting, if only because they've seen it on TV before. And it's easy to copy it in response. Along these lines there's the head-nod bow, the deference head-and-shoulders-nod bow, the hands-together bow (already in use across a lot of the world, often used to mean "thank you"). This last one is very recognizably a gesture, less likely to be confused with just bad posture due to a back ache, so it's my current favorite. Probably. Recognizable in the West is the first bump, which does involve contact but it's much better than Palm-to-Palm contact. Some degree of physical interaction will be useful in the future to politely establish whether you're talking to a hologram, so even if it dies out now it'll come back. It resembles a hand shake more than the other options do. Salutes, dabs, the Vulcan salute, require waving your hands around the other person's field of vision, which can get odd. The regular hand wave or the finger wiggle wave you do at babies, also have this issue, though at least they're simple and very well established. I'm looking out for other options!

PC Escobar

The point about the nuclear option of full lockdown buying time to work on better solutions -- not to mention fixing one's broken infrastructure and public health institutions -- is extremely important, and if there is no other lesson learned from this pandemic, I hope it is that one. Also, the accelerating economic harm is only half of the constraint on how long you can pull off a full lockdown. The other half is compliance. I personally was surprised at how long compliance lasted, at least in the US. I expected people to be defying mask wearing and stay home rules much sooner than actually happened. I guess the novelty of the situation and the "we're in this together" feeling in those initial weeks helped extend compliance a little longer. Those videos of people in Italy serenading each other from their balconies really struck a chord and set the tone for the possibility that lockdown could actually be fun, as well as prove the resilience of humanity. Sigh, those were the good old days.

PC Escobar

I'd like to say that the next time I'll get on a plane will be about the same time that teleportation will be commonplace, but realistically, it will probably be about a year from now, assuming 60%+ of the population I'll be in contact with during my travels have been immunized by then.

Anonymous

So you and yer romantic entanglement as robots are tributes to wall-e. Ok. I’m amazed that you found a way to cross motorized tracks like legs. Wall-E was outside all the time and flew in planes...

Cerity

Dave that’s the rub, for even close to parity for death between COVID-19 and currently known strains we’re still only about 25% through the population.

Anonymous

I loved the enigma machine of policy decision making.

[γδ(αμ)]

Wonderful video, thank you Grey! :)