Recap + 2/19 Slate + A Reminder (Patreon)

Yo! Lost 2u on Sporting and Eldense, pulled one back with the late Girona add. Mad at myself for not playing the TT but that's okay! 

-1u today! 

The reminder for us all. Love this group to death, but man I don't know what it is about today but I got some brutal messages.  I'm aware that it's been a rough start to the year! Also, when I add late bets, it's because I'm waiting for lineups, not because I'm secretly posting late hoping that individuals miss the bet. 

If at any point you don't want to be in here you do not have to! I'll never be upset at anyone for canceling a membership. I will slap that kick button so fast though if anyone dms me threats or using any form of hate speech. We're adults and I'm not going to put up with people using slurs  over a $10 a month betting service. No negativity, I'd rather people leave than spread hate.

Now that that's out of the way, here's what I'm on tomorrow LOL. I did an article for the Man City game with 3 plays I really enjoy so including that article at the end plus my UCL look and Championship parlay! 

2/20 Slate! 

1u

PSV V Dortmund. BTTS + O2.5 goals. -125. 

-Score Prediction. 2-1/1-2/2-2

*Thoughts*

This is pretty much the exact same thing for me that Athletic Bilbao v Girona was today. I have absolutely no idea who's going to win. But I don't see these two teams lining up and not seeing goals. PSV have been the titans of the Dutch Eredivise and playing at home is where they need to take advantage. We all know I don't like Dortmund and have had troubles betting them, but Malen and Fulkrug finding form at the right time means I'm really excited for this one! Luuk De Jong and Fulkrug are both plus odds if you want to take an ATGS here! 

1u

Championship Parlay. +103 *MGM*

Ipswich Town v Rotherham United. Ipswich over 1.5 TT -300

Score Prediction: 3-0/3-1

Southampton v Hull City. Southampton over 1.5 TT. -190

Score Prediction: 3-0/3-1

*Thoughts*

We've done this a couple times! This is one I try not to overthink I'm taking two clubs that I think can both score three, taking it down to 1.5 TT and parlaying them together. Ipswich TT is something we've cashed on a bunch but now it's juiced, so gotta throw that with Southampton! Two of the best attacking teams in the Championship. Hull City has me a little worried but homefield advantage and form should carry this one! 

Manchester City v Brentford. Article Plays! 

Picks:

• Manchester City over 2.5 TT -125. 1u
• Ivan Toney ATGS +280. .5u
• Kevin De Bruyne ATGS +240. .5u

Score Prediction: 3-1/4-1 Man City. 

The timing of this match is going to be rough for the visiting Bees. Brentford had the misfortune of playing Manchester City earlier this month at home and the match didn't go well for the Bees -- a 3-1 loss in what could have easily been closer to a 5-1 or 6-1 outcome. Phil Foden tallied a hat-trick and Man City had 15 shots on target, 25 shots and 75% possession. Now in the  reverse fixture, Brentford will travel to Etihad to play City side, who should be a little bit ticked off after dropping points, in a title race, to Chelsea.

Manchester City are in title race with Liverpool at the moment, meaning every point is critical. Dropping two points to Chelsea, especially with all the chances the Citizens had, means that they need to bounce back immediately. The Bees are likely in for a bad time.

While Manchester City will be looking to bounce back and grab a big three points, Brentford will be looking to stop the bleeding. This Brentford side, who welcomed back Ivan Toney with open arms, are finding goals, but they are conceding like mad right now, especially against good attacking teams. Looking back at their last 10 matches across all competitions, Brentford has one of the worst defensive records in England. They've conceded 25 times over those 10 matches, which included conceding at least three goals each to Man City, Liverpool, Spurs, Wolves twice and Crystal Palace. This is not a team that has the defensive fortitude to stop teams from scoring, and Manchester City will be no different.