2/16 Slate (Patreon)

Morning Gang! 

Hope y'all slept well! Let's get after this weekend! Here's what I'm betting! I've included Ians bet as well! I wont' be recapping it but if you want to tail it you are more than welcome! 

I'm on 3 today, then planning much more tomorrow and Sunday! BOL all! 

Hannover v Furth. BTTS + Over 2.5 goals. -120.  2nd Bundesliga 12:30pm ET.  *Favorite Play/8

Score Prediction: 2-1/3-1/3-2 Hannover

*Thoughts*

I have tremendous recency bias after cashing on this same bet last week when Hannover beat the mighty Hamburg 4-3, while I don't think we see 7 goals this time, I do think we still get 3+. Hannover has no intention of slowing down, and Furth who are technically "better" by the table, are coming off back to back losses, and have hit BTTS + Over in 4/5 matches. Like most of 2nd Bundesliga, we have two big attacking teams who has average defenses at best.

West Brom v Southampton. Over 2.5 goals. -130. English Championship 3pm ET.

Score Prediction: 2-2/ 2-1 lean to Southampton 

*Thoughts*

Big end of the week clash between two big dogs in the Championship. 5th hosting 3rd on the table. The reverse fixture saw a 2-1 win to SH and I could honestly see that again. This is a classic where I wanted to slam BTTS, but that's -160, so going with the over to get that juice down just a little bit. Southampton have scored in their last 20+ games straight, with over 60 goals scored this season, but defensively, not the best with 38 conceded over 31. West Brom can be a little hit or miss but at home, with the season winding up and fighting for promotion, I think we see a banger here! 

Slask Wroclaw v Stal Mielec. BTTS +105. 2:30pm ET. Polish Ekstraklasa.

Score Prediction: 1-1 draw / 2-1 slight lean to Slask 

*Thoughts*

Bit of a weird one here, especially with this league just coming back from break, but I watched the Slack v Pogon match last week and I wasn't impressed with this defense, even though they have the best defensive record in the league. I think Slask is going to take a couple weeks to find their defensive form again, and while they're struggling I think Stal will look to sneak away a point here. Before the break Stal looked great, scoring 3 against Pogon, 2 against Cracovia, once against Wedzew Lodz in the cup and against Rseszow and Gornik before that. This is a team that goes for goals while not defending themselves. I think this could end in a draw, but taking BTTS just because this is plus odds! 

Ian is on Koln to score first against Werder Bremen today at -110 if you want to tail that as well! BOL friends!