Recap + 1/22 Slate + Goodnight! (Patreon)

Hey gang! 

Today: 3-4. -1.5u

Bit of a frustrating day/week/month! Working on finding form here but this week was just full of -1u days! 

I Ended the week down just over 3.7u! Not where I want to be of course. I'm not sorry for the reads because I've liked them but I'm sorry for the outcome. I think moving forward I need to break my rule on not betting more than once per game and when Girona play I just put 30u on them LOL. 

Thanks for riding with me! Hoping the little write-ups and score predictions are helping people cash things outside of my plays! Here's what I'm on tomorrow! 

I did an article for the EPL match and this was also my StoppageTime play so including the full article here! 

3 plays. 2.5u risked in total! BOL tomorrow! 

1/22 Slate

WOLVERHAMPTON at BRIGHTON & HOVE ALBION | 1/22 | 2:45 p.m. ET Picks

• Both Teams to Score and Over 2.5 Goals +100 (1 unit)
• Both Teams to Score First Half +300 (0.5 units)

Score Prediction: 2-1/2-2 Brighton Lean

*Thoughts*

I'm about to explain why I think this will be a high-scoring and competitive match, with plenty of action and both teams finding the back of the net. With that being said, though, we have to acknowledge first and foremost that this is the first league match for both clubs after a bit of a break. Brighton hasn't played a league game since Jan. 2, while Wolves haven't had a league game since the end of December. However, both teams have participated in FA Cup matches since then, so I'm not expecting the rust to be significant for either club. We also need to mention that both clubs are missing players who are still away on international duty. Now that that's all out of the way, let's talk about why we love goals, goals and more goals in this matchup.

With Brighton, scoring is one thing we've been talking about all season long. Both Teams To Score has been hitting at an astronomical rate in their matches. Brighton have played 20 league games, and BTTS has hit in 18. It has hit in every one of their home matches. Those are numbers I can't ignore -- a 100% rate after 10 homes games is wild. Brighton have been the epitome of amazing offense and non-existent defense so far. Wolves don't have quite as impressive a hit rate as Brighton, but are pretty close. Brighton are best in the league for BTTS, while Wolves are fourth-best, with both teams scoring in 75% of their matches.

When we look at cup matches, we see the same thing. Brighton beat Stoke City in a 4-2 shootout, while Wolves drew against Brentford 1-1 then beat them in the replay 3-2. If I'm being honest with y'all, there's no way I can attack this game any way other than betting on goals, and if it ends in some bizarre 0-0 shootout, so be it!

Granada v Atletico Madrid. BTTS -130. 3pm ET. LaLiga

Score Prediction. 1-2/1-3/1-1. Atleti Lean

*Thoughts*

Granada is in that Salernitana type of position where they're so far down the gotta go for points. Granada also scores a surprising amount at home, hitting BTTS in 70% of their home matches, and most importantly, they have some important rest while Atleti just played a grueling slugfest of a match against Real Madrid and they might be a bit tired. I do think Aleti win here, because they need to after that Real Madrid fiasco today against Almeria, but defensively on the road Atleti struggles big time. Give me BTTS here in a tough matchup for both sides.