Yo!! 1/8 Recap + 1/9 Slate! (Patreon)

Well I hate that the red call card was spot on.

Recap: -1u

The only all hit/ all miss days continue! By our pattern hopefully it means we bang out tomorrow! MGM did have the wrong time so that friendly is tomorrow morning! Posting the play again for everyone + My favorite Turkey Play! 

1/9 Slate:

Japan v Jordan. Over 1.5 goals 1h. -130. International Friendlies. *Favorite Play of the Day

- Score Prediction. 4-0/4-1/3-1 Japan

* Thoughts*

BEFORE YOU YELL AT ME FOR BETTING A FRIENDLY! Just hear me out. I don't know if you've been keeping an eye out on Japan right now, and for my anime fans who watch Blue Lock, this team is INCREDIBLE. Manager Hajime Moriyasu has gotten this squad into terrific state, and more importantly, a team that wants to win everything. Their last 7 "friendlies that don't matter"

6-0 win v El Salvador

4-1 win v Peru

4-1 win v Germany

4-2 win v Turkey

4-1 win v Canada

2-0 win v Tunisia

5-0 win v Thailand

This squad is unreal right now, and this is their last friendly before the AFC Asian Cup, which means this is their last competition grade match to get everything ready for a big cup competition. I'm expecting a monstrous starting XI to come out, dominate early, then rest and get some practice in for the backups, but this should be a blowout and we should see goals early. If you'd rather take Japan over 3.5 TT or 1.5 1h TT I don't hate that either! But playing it a bit safer because Jordan isn't awful by any means and could contribute!

Kasimpasa v Basaksehir. Over 2.5 goals. -135. 12pm ET. Turkey Super Lig

- Score Prediction. 1-2/2-2/2-1. 

*Thoughts*

Man I have absolutely 0 idea who wins this one. I lean Kasimpasa but the head-to-head disagrees with me. If you look at how Kasimpasa plays in general, and specifically how these two teams play each other - I gotta bet goals. I KNOW  head to head doesn't matter always, but these teams have played 15 times since 2016 and over has hit in 13/15. If you want to take BTTS that's okay too! That hits more often then not, but trying not to get burned by a stupid red card, because Kasimpasa specifically likes to get a bit chippy....or violent LOL. And as we've seen red cards are a flying right now! 

Kasimpasa does have THE HIGHEST BTTS RATE AT HOME AND OVERALL in turkey this year. BTTS in the second half has also hit more than any other team in this league. This team is the definition of we don't play defense., and even a slow to score Basaksehir in recent matches should get pulled into a slugfest per usual! A bit of juice here, I'm definitely being cautious, but if take BTTS + over 2.5 you'll get plus odds!