1/2 Slate (Patreon)
Content
Another Day! Let's go! Also I should say - my goal is to always post by 9pm ET! It will be earlier depending on what I have going on at night!
if you're confused by what I'm doing in the Getafe match make sure to read below!
1/2 Slate.:
1u play
West Ham v Brighton. West Ham DNB. -130. 2:30pm ET. EPL. *Favorite Play of the Day*
- Score Prediction. 2-1 West Ham / 2-2 Draw / 1-0 West Ham
*Thoughts*
Okay I mean this is Brighton. If you want to take BTTS + Over 2.5 goals here I wouldn't be upset in the slightest. BTTS has hit in 18/19 league matches for Brighton, my biggest concern in West Ham at home is a bit chippier with a 56% hit rate at home. Footystats.org has West Ham as the 4th best home-field advantage team in the league. Both teams are coming off big wins, Brighton smacking Spurs 4-2 and West HAm beating Arsenal 2-0 so both teams have plenty of momentum, but I'm taking this because of West Ham home form, current form, and the fact that I can get a safety net with DNB for a team that's beat their opponents 7-0 in their last three league matches.
.5u plays
Getafe v Rayo Vallecano. Getafe ML +140
Getafe v Rayo Vallecano. Draw +200
- Score Prediction. 1-0 Getafe / 1-1 Draw
Explanation
I desperately wanted to take Getafe DNB here, but for some reason that line is -160 on MGM, which is a bit too much juice for me, so I'm doing a new type of bet I haven't really done before. I'm splitting a full unit and going half on the Getafe ML and half on the draw. If either of those outcomes happen - we get profit in this match. These are two of the most draw heavy clubs in Spain with both teams having 8 draws in their opening 18 matches. Getafe have been a fortress picking up only 1 loss in their last 12 matches in league play, and Rayo is a team who is great at home normally but iffy on the road, and iffy in recent form.
My goal this year is to get out of my comfort zone a bit and expand my betting plethora, so when you see me try new stuff like this know that there's a reason! If you want to do each bet for 1u I don't hate that either - just easy into new bets this year!