Best Bet 4/29/2022 (Patreon)

Hey y'all!

Here's our first ever Patreon post!!! My goal is every night  to post my absolute favorite pick for the next day and a reasoning why. Hit or miss, this will always be the pick I am the most confident in. I'll also post this tomorrow on Twitter, but y'all will get the first chance to get on this before odds potentially move. I'm 1u on this. Here's my analysis:

Schalke is currently the 2nd best team in Bundesliga 2. Unlike most leagues which promote the top three automatically, Bundesliga 2 only promotes the top 2 automatically at the end of the season. Schalke is currently sitting in 2nd on the table at 56 points, only 6 points clear of falling to 6th place. They will be coming out against a bottom of the table Sandhausen desperate to take all three points here, and doing so will most likely require more than 1 goal. 

Schalke is also the best attacking team in all of Germany Bundesliga 2. With 65 goals over 31 games, they are the only team averaging 2+ goals a game over the season. Over the last  7 games, they've scored 2+ goals 6 times, only not hitting this when they scored only once against Werder, who is the only team higher on the table. We should expect to see Schalke score at least 2 tomorrow, as they cannot afford to only score once and slow down against a Sandhausen team in decent form and who is capable of scoring against any team in Bundesliga 2, so multiple goals will most likely be required here.

A little bit of juice at -140 on MGM so feel free to shop around, but ultimately this is my most confident pick for tomorrow! 🍻 BOL if tailing and thank you again for giving this Patreon a shot with me!