Good Morning! Monday Slate! (Patreon)

Morning gang!

Got home from my trip, checked my books, and had to do an old school Scooby doo eye bulge when I saw I was -10u on the weekend. Everything that could go wrong, did. Wanted to say though shoutout to my friend in here Edward. He messaged me privately on twitter saying he is going to take a break from Patreon, and just get his head clear during the slump but he still appreciates the work! It means a lot that win or lose we have such good people in here. I'm going to keep on moving and betting on what I love! If you fade me for a bit I won't be upset!

Just two plays for me today. There's a ton of good action in Italy but honestly these are really tough ones for me to read today! So keeping it light and only betting my favorites today

Thanks as always everyone!

Sivasspor v Fenerbache. Fenerbahçe over 2.5 TT. +130. 1pm ET. Turkey Super Lig

• Score Prediction. 3-1 Fenerbache 

• Thoughts

  • This bet is all about the title race. Fenerbache is currently down 5 points on the table to Galatasaray with a game in hand. A win here puts them down only 2 points. With only a handful of games left every game is crucial for these two big dogs to decide who wins the league. Right now, what also matters, is goal differential, depending on how close this race ends up being. Fenerbache is up 1 goal right now in GD, and need to keep running up the score against weaker clubs, which is why I think they bang 3+ here, something they've also done in 3/5 h2h against Sivasspor.

Linfield v Larne FC. BTTS -125. Northern Ireland Premiership. 2:45pm ET. 

• Score Prediction. 2-2 draw / 2-1 Linfield Lean

• Thoughts

  • I don't watch the most NIP in the world, but I have watched these two clubs specifically a good amount. The two giants on the NIP, and the two best offenses in the league. A combined 159 goals scored by the two clubs this season. Both are averaging over 2 goals scored per game, and h2h is all about BTTS here. This is one of those weird matches where because it's the two big dogs it could start slow like a Man City / Arsenal type beat, but even on their best days the defenses here aren't good enough to hold 90 minutes, and both clubs while scoring a ton of goals, have been leaky in recent form!