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I'm digging back into my archives to find content that I created before the 2021 and 2022 NBA Drafts - before we knew where these prospects would be selected, before Summer League, and when my dynasty takes were freshest.

The big takeaway? Assessing fantasy stat sets based on pre-draft statistics can give us a huge advantage in dynasty. We found A LOT of the gems in these classes if you look at players who were assessed as having the best fantasy games.

The 2021 pre-draft top 10 avoided the busts in the class and identified the non-lottery sleeper breakouts in Alperen Sengun and Jalen Johnson. We also loved Franz Wagner even when he was getting mocked outside of the lottery at the time this board was created.

In 2022, we touted Chet as the #1 pick consistently, started the Tari Eason Fan Club, and flagged Vince Williams Jr. as a fantasy sleeper before he was even drafted.

2021 Big Board (Pre-NBA Draft): https://docs.google.com/spreadsheets/d/1_ApNQqiYyPIpLwPSB_tmOELbOM1KDMO9MEwNcpfdcLU/edit?usp=sharing

2022 Big Board (Pre-NBA Draft): https://docs.google.com/spreadsheets/d/1Zr52AxgRt3mYSuCp57jKCMlf1klzFPWFkG8BFDftg0o/edit?usp=sharing

These big boards and the underlying analysis in them take months and months of work to assemble but the payout has been consistent. 

-Matt

Comments

Zeya Schindler

Hi Matt. I'm curious what you think Grimes upside is if he finds a better home. I like the idea of buying him now but don't have a clear sense of the degree to which he might pop, or not.

NBADynastyADP

We have seen Grimes play big minutes and he’s not a good fantasy player. I don’t see significant upside for him in fantasy.