Rookie Betting Advice: ACA, KSW, & Cage Warriors (Patreon)

Before carrying on to this piece know I'm not an expert at betting. I'm not even betting these fights personally because in Kentucky they are behind times and it's illegal in the state. These are all of my personal opinions and bets I think would have some value. The odds I'm using are from BetOnline

ACA 141

Albert Misikov (-135) Vs. Nashkho Galaev

Not sure why Misikov is only -135 when he should be a -300 favorite. Galaev is barely clinging onto a winning record being 8-7. He's decent everywhere but is defensively challenged everywhere. Misikov is still raw but is an excellent wrestler. He really impressed me in his last fight. I can't see his first loss coming to Galaev.

Albert Misikov + Mehdi Baidulaev parlay (+133)

I really like Baidulaev as he's one of my favorite prospects of the week. At -295 it's not a bad price at all. If you don't wanna put money on that straight parlay him with Misikov who I mentioned above.

Cage Warriors 141

Mike Figlak + Lone'er Kavanagh parlay (-104)

Not Sure why Kavanagh isn't a big favorite like Will Currie and Jesse Urholin is. Kavanagh is one of the best young prospects out of the UK and Sanchez has proved nothing. He scored an upset knockout win in his last fight but the guy he fought wasn't even good. Before that he hasn't fought since 2018 and footage is tough to find. Can't understand anyone backing Sanches especially if you have any idea who Kavanagh is. Figlak I've been high on for a long time and Agy Sardari is very overrated in my opinion. Figlak is more well-rounded and better conditioned. Should be an easy parlay to hit.

KSW 72

Dawid Smielowski (+135) Vs Pat Kaczmarczyk

I really like Kaczmarczyk but the value is on Smielowski. Smielowski is gonna have a six-inch height advantage and a reach advantage. Kaczmarczyk will want to take this fight down but I can't see him doing it and even if he does he can't do it consistently. Smielowski is so dangerous on the feet that and can end it at any time. I don't count out Kaczmarczyk at all but this is a difficult fight for him.

Gustavo Oliveira (-155) Vs. Patryk Surdyn

Oliveira is a sick talent that is hardly known due to the limited footage. I am familiar with Surdyn and I've never been impressed. As much as I do like Oliveira I'm not too confident cause I want more footage. With that said, from what I know of Oliveira and all the hype I've heard it seems like a good play.