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  1. Anticipated Pause in Rate Hike: Due to rising bond yields, a slight decrease in inflation, and heightened geopolitical risks, the Federal Reserve is predicted to leave interest rates unchanged. This is second pause and a sign that prob the last.
  2. High Expectation for Steady Rates: 99.6% chance that the Fed will maintain the current rates.
  3. Focus on Future Rate Decisions and Economic Indicators: Although inflation has slightly cooled, achieving the Fed's 2% target was always a dumb target. Now the fed thinks GDP is strong but it is not - it is driven by debt printing. They want more jobs destroyed before they think about a cut.
  4. Fed's Strategy and Tone: Fed will keep their hawkish stance while the treasury continues to add trillions in debt.  The whole thing is a clown show.

Markets will rally a bit on the pause but depends on his stupid words that follow. 

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Comments

Anonymous

James, where does the Fed's 2% inflation target come from? I think you told me gold is dug up at a rate of 2% a year. Is there a connection?

Anonymous

Thanks James a needed a good laugh