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As you know from my channel, Bitcoin is NOT driven by lines on a chart, or history, it is primarily driven by money flow and on-chain data.  Ignore the "experts" that compare Bitcoin to an Amazon stock Chart in the year 2000! 

Bitcoin Long-Term vs Short-Term Holder Supply Divergence

The chart of Bitcoin long-term (LTH) vs short-term (STH) holder supply is incredibly bullish. The current divergence between LTH and STH supply is the greatest ever recorded, with LTH supply at an all-time high and STH supply at an all-time low. Speculation in the Bitcoin market is also at an all-time low.

In previous top cycles, we have seen FOMO kick in at the peak of the market, with LTHs selling and STHs buying the top. This has resulted in LTH supply being at its lowest and STH supply being at its highest at the peak of the cycle.

However, it is important to note that the next cycle may be different. For example, it is possible that more people will hold Bitcoin than cash in the next cycle. This would put a significant upward pressure on the price of Bitcoin.

If per the former BlackRock director - his data is true that 150-200bn will come into Bitcoin, well that is enough to buy 6.25M BTC but what if only 2.3M are for sale!!!! Yup - you guessed it. 

Only time will tell what will happen in the next cycle. However, the current market conditions are very bullish for Bitcoin, and investors should take notice.

THIS TIME IS VERY VERY DIFFERENT. 

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Comments

Anonymous

James, 🙏

Anonymous

Gives the confidence to keep DCAing Bitcoin!

Anonymous

& rzrrzr2@0{ l7". Persssssss//:.sst

Anonymous

I’ve still been accumulating all this time. I have been wanting to buy more BTC but the DCAS keeps staying in the red. However James has repeatedly pointed out that the price increase is likely due to increased confidence by institutional money that the ETF’s are looking exceedingly promising in attention to the mantra “this time is different”. With this latest post about BTC would it be a wise decision to go ahead and add to my bag while the price is still relatively low compared to full bull run expectations of even higher growth?