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Some interesting items this week incl Grayscale Lawsuit vs SEC and some key economic data.  We shall see the tone of the fed and also Labor #'s will be key.  South Korea just missed their GDP # also. Things are weakening.

This week brings two important releases in particular: the U.S. JOLTs (Job Openings and Labor Turnover Survey) and Non Farm Payrolls data coming in on Wednesday and Friday morning, respectively. 

The reason for the data’s relevance is the historically tight labor market conditions currently in place, with nearly two job openings for every one unemployed person in the U.S. labor market. The historically tight labor market is one of the conditions that gives the Federal Reserve the go-ahead to continue with their tightening regime. 

The current forecast for Wednesday’s JOLTs release is 10.5 million. A beat to the upside is likely to place pressure on markets, as a resilient labor market would again reinforce the incumbent monetary tightening regime to continue.

March 7, 2023

10:00 a.m. EST, Fed Chairman Powell Testimony, Semiannual Monetary Policy Report to the Congress.

9:30 a.m. EST, Oral arguments in Grayscale’s lawsuit against the SEC.

March 8, 2023

8:30 a.m. EST, U.S. Balance of Trade, Forecast: -$68.9 billion.

10:00 a.m. EST, U.S. JOLTs (Job Openings and Labor Turnover Survey) Job Openings, Forecast: 10.5 million.

10:00 a.m. EST, Fed Chairman Powell Testimony, Semiannual Monetary Policy Report to the Congress.

March 9, 2023

10:00 a.m. EST, Vice Chair for Supervisor of the Federal Reserve speaking on Crypto to the Peterson Institute.

Bank of Japan Interest Rate Decision, Forecast: -0.1%, Prior: -0.1%.

March 10, 2023

2:00 a.m. EST, U.K. Month-over-Month GDP data release, Forecast: 0.1%, Prior: -0.5%.

8:30 a.m. EST, U.S. Non Farm Payrolls data release, Forecast: 200,000; Prior, 517,000.

Comments

Anonymous

James thank you I was just thinking a few days ago you should do a weekly outlook for upcoming events that may move markets during the coming week, great job as always.

Anonymous

Maybe pin this as a resource for the group. https://www.forexfactory.com/calendar?week=this

Anonymous

https://www.youtube.com/live/RhgiwCRi5rg?feature=share. very interesting discussion on inverted yields

Anonymous

Really appreciate this

Anonymous

Good time to buy GBTC??

Anonymous

For volatility fans, this is the week

Anonymous

Thanks for the list - helpful!

Anonymous

Gonna be bumpy until we get a blowout downside CPI Surprise....it's coming folks, sooner than later. Getting from 4% to 2% is going to be the sticky tricky part. Eurozone inflation lowered for February, above expectations but lowered. Maybe we can do better in the US. Fingers Crossed

Anonymous

This is really helpful

Anonymous

thank you so much this is excellent

Anonymous

Cheers James. For those who say this is helpful, yes it is.... but if you go on investing.com you can get all this information in the app with a few clicks ;)

Anonymous

True... What could do the difference could be some sort of forecast on the outcome or some best/worst case scenario... I see it for the job reports but less guidance on the others

Anonymous

According to Truflation is sure is. Goverent numbers are lagging quite a bit.

Anonymous

sounds like its time to find some dry powder

Anonymous

Fickle Wallstreet. Me thinks algo trading is not that great to make things rise or fall so quickly. That magic Aladin lamp is not magical.