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Published:
2021-02-08 23:45:57
Imported:
2022-03

Content

Key info if you hold MARA HUT8 TSLA MSTR or SQ 

Files

Bitcoin Treasury Impact on Stock Prices: Tesla MicroStrategy Square HUT8 Marathon

#MicroStrategy #Bitcoin #Tesla #HUT8 #MARA #Square A detailed analysis of impact of Bitcoin Treasuries on Stock Prices with future price predictions, bitcoin premium ratios and so much more for Tesla, MicroStrategy, Square, HUT8, and Marathon. 0:00 Introduction to the most glorious day 0:35 DISCLAIMER: The opinions expressed in the video are for general informational purposes only and are not intended to provide specific advice or recommendations for any individual or on any specific security or investment product. It is only intended to provide education about the financial industry. 1:15 Bitcoin & Treasuries 1:35 Bitcoin Inevitable 2:00 2 days before Elon’s Tweet 1:45 What It Means For BTC Premium & Stock Price 1:30 My Treasury Framework BTC HOLDINGS BTC Per Share Premium on BTC Per Share Future Share Price Predictions 2:00 1 Family: 2 Biggest Assets on Earth BITCOIN AND TESLA 3:00 My Dec Trade 34,000% 2.8.21 @ 8am PST 3:30 My Dec Trade 44,000% 2.8.21 @ 1pm PST 4:00 MicroStrategy 3x vs BTC 1.4X MicroStrategy up +235 Points Today 4:30 MicroStrategy BTC Holding Ratio 33.30% 5:00 TESLA Price $858.00 Tesla BTC Holding Ratio 0.21% 7:00 SQ Price $265.10 SQ BTC Holding Ratio 0.15% 10:000 HUT8 Price $5.10 BTC Holding Ratio 22.71% 12:00 MARATHON Price $30.30 BTC Holding Ratio 7.28% 14:00 Conclusion 1: The Ranking 15:00 Conclusion 2: Best to Buy Pure BTC 16:00 Conclusion 3: Microstrategy Dec Option Play My fastest 400 bagger - 7 weeks! 17:00 Patreon thank you 18:00 SCAMMERS - that is ME see the name bubble

Comments

Anonymous

I appreciate everything you're sharing with us. I'm a pretty novice trader but trying to absorb as much as possible. Keep up the good work.

Anonymous

Loving the Math. Keep it coming! 😎

Anonymous

Genius!

Anonymous

Nice work! Congrats!

Anonymous

That was excellent. Nice reference to BTC Impact to share value. Was wondering how to figure that out.. superb!

Anonymous

Hi IA, I'd like to suggest a refinement to your MSTR model. I think you can break it into 3 pieces to model: BTC value, BTC Premium and Business value. I think you can model BV by inflating the MSTR enterprise value on 2019-12-31 at 20% ap. BTC value is obvious so BTC premium is just MktCap - BTC value - BV. Then I think you can watch the BTC premium and as long is it is flat or increasing (with perhaps a 3 day moving average), hold the MSTR and when that is not true flip to BTC. Now, that seems rational for those holding MSTR. MSTR options are a whole different kettle of fish :) Congrats on that fantastic trade!! I looked at a straight call options play when MSTR was ~$500 but could not make myself pay the premium -- shoulda thought harder and just done a bull call. Next time ;-)

InvestAnswers
>>53219416

believe it or not I thought about getting real sophisticated about entperprise value of the business but to do that for all it was best just to assume status quo and the only variable was BTC price. That way it is all comparing apples to apples.

Anonymous

This is really insightful as I hold some of these stocks and was debating on purchasing Tesla today. Although I do think Tesla will do well in the long run this clarifies how much BTC they would need to own/acquire before it becomes more directly correlated. Regarding your MicroStrategy trade I was curious to know if you have any rules of thumb for bull spreads. I have been Position and Swing trading for the past year and have been studying general options, bull spreads and calendar spreads since the summer. I am ready to start using options but it would be great to have a bit of direction in knowing what to look for when choosing a contract, when to buy and for how much. Any thoughts would be appreciated. Cheers

Anonymous

IA, don't you think when Elon took some cash out of stocks to the tune of about a billion last year that he sunk it into BTC? I also chatted with a few friends last year saying if Elon took out cash, I bet he puts it into BTC and you watch, he will offer payment for his car in BTC.... WILD TIMES! And exciting times

Anonymous

44,000% !

Anonymous

Looking at MSTR DEC options I see 1100 strike with a 375 premium. Seems steep but I think MSTR hits 2k minimum. Thoughts ? Everyone seems to be underestimating the velocity of money into BTC and the way everything is lining up you couldn’t write a better script for this asset. Maybe a country will announce later this month they are adopting bitcoin as their currency :).

InvestAnswers
>>53223709

Totally the wrong time to buy MSTR Calls - wait for VIX to settle and hit me up again.

Anonymous

Did anyone see this on Hut8? Wed, 27 Jan 2021 Hut 8 Mining Corp. Builds Positive Momentum and Value for Shareholders with Repayment of USD 20 Million Capital Loan Hut 8 Mining Corp. announced that it has finalized plans to repay its USD 20 million loan with Genesis Global Capital. The Genesis loan allowed the company to hold a larger bitcoin balance by using its bitcoin as collateral for a loan. This strategy has provided significant benefit to Hut 8 as the price of bitcoin has increased far more than the interest on the loan of 8% per annum. Hut 8 plans to repay the Genesis loan in full in mid-February, 2021 as a one month repayment notice was required, which will provide a financial benefit of USD 2.4 Million. This is driven by the savings from interest expenses of USD 1.6 Million and the fact that the bitcoin collateral will instead be used towards Hut 8's previously disclosed yield account with Genesis which will be generating USD 0.8 Million in interest income.

Anonymous

I am one of the 90% option "losers"-so...(aside from learning how to trade options properly) what should I be looking at in straight equity plays - MSTR / BBTC / HUT8 (or should I just buy BTC) TSLA / SQ / ILMN / NEE ? I do hold some BTC/ETH/LTC (should I convert LTC to BTC?) Any guidance really appreciated (with usual caveats!)

Anonymous

Thanks James! Great info!

Anonymous

Always solid

Anonymous

IA, Congratulations on today! I got into MSTR, PYPL soon after the announcements on BTC and HUT8 after your video last Friday. Very thankful to your insightful content! I completely agree with you on MSTR and HUT8 having the most increase in share price due to increase in BTC value. I wonder the incremental topline and bottom line add to these companies and how that gets factored into the stock price. For example, TSLA would continue to accumulate BTC as folks purchase vehicles using BTC, adding to its stash...Would appreciate your comment. Thank you!

Anonymous

just signed up as a new member, your strategy is on POINT

InvestAnswers
>>53230385

I think TSLA will trade sideways to down for a while between $750 and $950. I plan on getting more in the $750 range.

Anonymous

Im not a number guy. But i liked this vid. You are god explaining in a captivating way 👍🏻

Anonymous

Another jawdropper. Thanks! I was a believer in HUT8 before and now, I will be selling metals to buy more HUT in the am. Can we append two rows to the summary table near the end? I.e., GBTC and ETHE.

Anonymous

Great analysis!

Anonymous

Here is an interesting analysis of cryptominers from one year ago. I have only browsed it due to its age. But the methodology may be of interest. There seems to be some good historical info on HUT 8, too. Cryptocurrency Miners Can a select few escape the volatility and generate sustainable shareholder returns? Elwood Research Series 04 February 2020 https://elwoodam.com/wp-content/uploads/2020/02/Cryptocurrency-Miners.pdf

Anonymous

Jim thanks from the UK for this great video. Your excitement is electric and powers us all forward.

Anonymous

Dont know how many on this forum already know the how to's, but I would really love a "hands on tutorial" on option trading. When I read your MSTR gameplan it becomes painfully obvious how powerful it is compared to classic buy and hold or margin trading (which I also still dont master). Maybe if of interest and possible, you could take us through an upcoming trade in learning by doing mode. All at our own risk of course. Thanks for amazing content :)

Anonymous

Yep I would love that also

Anonymous

Ditto same

Anonymous

Hey I’m in the Uk I want to buy shares in hut 8 does anyone know which platform is best to use?

Anonymous

Wow! Hut8 really taking off.

Anonymous

When should we be thinking of selling MSTR as the premium over bitcoin is high. MSTR up 93% vs GBTC 25% last few weeks. I would like to capture the premium but holding for taxes means a full 12 months hold which may put it out of the fomo range? or maybe everyone buying does not have the same calculations we do?

InvestAnswers
>>53257460

I am holding my call options until they convert. I own the $300 calls for Dec 21 and I am short the $290 puts for Dec 21. I will let puts expire worthless. MSTR has BLOWN thru my Dec 2021 target of $1145 that I made in Dec when it was at $299. If I see it hit a crazy level which is beyond where I think BTC will go this year then I will sell a call against my deep in the money call for extra revenue.

Anonymous

Won't MSTR price comfortably exceed the BTC value correlation because lots of companies and people are using it as a proxy to buy and hold BTC appreciation?

Anonymous

Will there always be a reason for people to buy MSTR as a proxy for BTC if laws loosen up? What is the scenario that would have people/companies sell MSTR to just buy BTC directly?

Anonymous

You are a beast! Please mind yourself tho! And what a return! Amazing!

Anonymous

agree didn't expect the tesla / musk move this early and that big. that is the only reason I am hesitant to sell any MSTR bc there is going to be serious fomo. Maybe I sell 5% of my shares and no more.. so tough

Anonymous

only caveat for SQ is rev and users they grow thru BTC in their Cash App!