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Today's PAYPAL Trade after Earnings (Patreon)

Published:
2021-02-04 16:15:36
Imported:
2022-03

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Comments

Anonymous

Great :-) I am not sure if you want to critic trades, but I for one would find it helpful. In mid Jan I did the following in PYPL Buy 220121 C 200 for $64.30, Buy 230120 c 250 @ $58.50, Sell 230120 p 180 @ 20.42

InvestAnswers
>>52910585

I see what you did here but there's a lot of moving parts to the trade. Because I do so many I like to keep them simple and no the range I am playing. However that being said I've done similar things like this with Shopify and Tesla. You have a GREAT mind. However, if you want a little critique you spent far too much money on time value. This would be a big losing position if PayPal falls to the $200 range. I will run the #'s thru my model later but will need to reconfigure it. The golden rule is time is not your friend. Try to minimize the time value you BUY and maximize the time value you SELL. This is probably the most important lesson anybody can ever learn in this game. Similar to life I guess.

Anonymous

What would be the best way to minimize the time value bought and maximizing time value sold? Ty

Anonymous

This is helpful, but since we obviously didn't enter the trade when you did, is there a play today? Thanks.

InvestAnswers
>>52916674

Best to sit tight for now. Remember I went technically short yesterday at $271. I am watching SQ carefully also (I am also long a lot of SQ).

InvestAnswers
>>52911688

Best way is always to sell a put and buy a call but that is very risky. In order to feel comfortable doing this you need to be extremely bullish that there is no downside.

Anonymous

Hi IA. I have not quite figured out how to ask a question that doesn't fit nicely into a recent post. But this seems as good a place as any. If and when you have time and the inclination, I'd appreciate a critique of a trade I made in late August. It is still on and I have no current plans to close it. I'd just like to hear how you might have approached this differently. The trade is in GOOGL 210917 options. I bought a synthetic long at a strike of 1640 for $200. bought 1 call and sold 1 put. Of course today I am happy with the current position, but I struggle with when to do a bull call spread and when to do a synthetic long as their theoretical maximum losses are very distinct as is their potential gains. I had to think long and hard about the maximum potential loss of 164K before hitting the send button.

InvestAnswers
>>53001333

OK here it is - per my model your breakeven point is Paypal at $286. Let me know what you think. https://docs.google.com/spreadsheets/d/1Fkwh9LR7P-GeE_3573_sosCY615OxcmHwbUxzzapzXQ/edit?usp=sharing

Anonymous

IA- Picked up 5 PYPL 210716 C270 @ 28.55 . Your long term PYPL thesis stands as a BTCN derivative?

Anonymous

Oh, &amp; grazie!