Aintree Day 1 Horse Tips 🏇Rob Aka Prosportsadvice + Harrys Tips (HORSE RELATED ONLY) (Patreon)

I cleaned up last year at Aintree profit likewise Cheltenham 3 weeks ago (ROI on 24 out of the 28 races) I’ll be at the track for the week, stick with staking plan 📊 just because it’s the 2nd biggest racing event of the year please don’t get carried away by your stakes, I advise against multiple bet types but it’s personal preference on angle, be responsible and don’t bet with money you can’t afford to lose, any abuse to me Harry or other members after a loser, you will be removed.

Tough week of racing on paper but we’re going to do everything in our power to profit again, Everyone Enjoy and lets smash the bookies 👊🏼

My Tips/Analysis for each race, then Harrys are below them (READ CAREFULLY)

whether you follow us both or not it’s personal preference but if you are and there’s a race where we may have the same horse I recommend not doubling points. My fancy selections are 2 point (2%) for Win selections & 1 point Each way unless stated otherwise.

1:45 Aintree (Money Back) ✅

War Lord - (COVER BET) - 2 Places - 5/2 (3.50) This bet type means Win however if the horse finishes 2nd it means void bet, money back.

Wide open race to start the festival, was originally looking at ‘Gin on Lime’ but can’t ignore the poor form of De Bromhead at Cheltenham & over the past while, in the past 2 weeks he’s had 8 horses run none of which won, & Blackmore has been on board 7 winning 0, War lord finished a solid 4th at Cheltenham when 50/1 outsider in the Arkle novice chase, didn’t find a gap until upcoming 3 fences out and was progressive going up the hill into final furlong, step up in trip would be main concern however Trainer Colin Tizzard & Brendan Powell are in decent form.

2:20 Aintree - Dead Heat, then went overruled wit 2nd some online bookies paid out, others didn’t ❌

Pied Piper - Evens (2.00)

(Sky bet are doing money back as cash up to £10 if your horse finishes, 2nd, 3rd or 4th, I’m not affiliated in any way, just stating)

Won by 9 lengths in juvenile hurdle before finishing short 3rd at the Cheltenham festival in the triumph hurdle to an impressive ‘Vauban’ who pied piper beaten on their previous clash at punchestown December 31st, my main concern is trainer Gordon Elliot’s only had 1 winner in last 24 runs, Davy Russell on board a jockey I rate and on paper looks the one to beat as the market suggests.

2:55 Aintree -

Clan Des Obeaux (TO BE PLACED) - in more markets - 6/5 (2.20) 1st ✅

(This selections means to finish in top 3)

Each way is priced at 13/2 (7.50) - 1st ✅

Competitive race on paper and claims can be made for few however CDO Won this race last year comfortably by 26 lengths Clondaw castle in 2nd, Native River 3rd & Tiger roll finishing way back in 4th, Clan Des Obeaux then followed that with a Win at punchestown April 28th beating Al boum Photo & finished 26 lengths ahead of ‘Kemboy’, who is currently priced 4th in the exchange, in the 2 most recent runs have been questionable although can’t ignore form of last year, I can see why ‘Protektorat’ is the market leader & main danger hence why I’m leaning with the to be placed market angle, Clan Des Obeaux Won this race last year then placed in 2019 & 2018. Harry Cobden on board for Paul Nicoholls, drift in the exchange from 7/2 since last night is noticeable & negative factor.

2:30 Aintree

Epatante 2/1 (3.00) - 3:30 - 1st ✅

Finished 2nd behind the unbeaten Honeysuckle at Cheltenham March 15th, Zanahiyr close 3rd behind & 2nd in the exchange as main danger on paper, slight advantage in the weights for Aidan Coleman, what would put me off Zanahiyr is Elliotts poor run of form 1 winner in past 24 races in the past 14 days while Nicky Henderson has had 9 Winners from 31 (29%), main concern would be how Eptante handles the slighty longer trip, drop of rain expected in morning which conditions would look to suit on paper.

4:05 Aintree - Wide open field of field of 24 horses and there is 2 I’m thorn between,

Porlock Bay 15/2 (8.50) Advising Each way 6 Places - 3rd ✅

Cousin Pascal 12/1 (13.00) Advising Each way 6 Places - 5th ✅

currently priced 4th down in the market ‘Porlock Bay’ Won at Cheltenham last year in hunters chase beating ‘Billaway’ by a short head, finished 13 lengths ahead of ‘Latenightpass’ who is 2nd in the exchange, although form shows 2nd in this race last year, from September 21st Porlock bay has ran in 10 races and has only finished 1st or 2nd, in order of most recent, 2nd, 2nd, 1st, 2nd, 1st, 1st, 2nd, 2nd, 2nd, 1st. Well supported in the exchange, and the forecast with light rain looks to suit on paper.

Currently priced Cousin Pascal Won this race last year, made a mistake at Cheltenham recently at 7th fence which couldn’t recover from and soon pulled up, prior that race won at haydock on heavy ground beating ‘Bob & Co’ a consistent sort by 2 lengths, when cousin pascal won this race last year was 66/1 outsider and beat ‘latenightpass’ by 2 1/2 lengths and Billaway by 4+ lengths who finished 5th, main concern would be drift in the exchange from 7/1 out to 12/1 but if runs to best ability has decent each way chance on paper.

4:40 Aintree -

King D’argent 10/1 - Advising each way - Sky bet paying 6 places instead of 4. - 5th ✅

1 of the hardest races today on paper in my opinion would recommend avoiding, if had to go with 1 currently priced 5th in the market for the Dan & Harry skelton Duo who are in decent form, market support backed in from 11/1 is interesting, highest RPR in this field 166, although slighty beaten in a close finish by ‘before midnight’ at Doncaster January 28th, looking at expected forecast ground conditions look to suit D’argent, although back end form of 2021 was questionable.

5:15 Aintree

Ashroe Diamond 5/1 (6.00) Advising Each Way Bet 365 paying 5 places instead of 4. - 1st ✅

Currently priced 2nd in the exchange, tough race on paper but Willie Mullins only has 2 horses running for the whole card tomorrow Kemboy & this one, Paddy Mullins on board who I met in the airport yesterday pic on my Insta story who I spoke with briefly, drop in rain will suit and forecast is expected showers from 3am tonight to 5pm tomorrow, if so, this should see suit to this horses liking regarding the ground conditions, Won on soft to heavy on debut in Wexford In May of last year by 14 lengths finishing ahead of ‘Bantown Girl’ a consistent type, close 4th in grade 2 at Leopardstown last time out February 6th when paddy wasn’t on board is interesting factor, which was on yielding to soft.

Harrys Horse Tips below 🏇 (These are separate to mine Robaka Prosportsadvice.

1:45- Pic D’orhy @ 7/2 (1pts): ❌

I have this between the selection and War lord. War lord looks to be gradually improving and loves the softer ground, this step up in trip suits him but on paper he doesn’t match Pic D’orhy. The selection has won two graded races in his last 3 starts. On his third last start he beat Favouir without breaking a sweat by 9L whereas war lord only beat him by 4L next time out. Pic D’orhy then improved again to win a grade 2 in Kempton where he won comfortably. The fences at Aintree are bigger than most and Pic D’orhy looks to have the best jumping action. He is rated 5lbs better than War lord and in recent years this race has favoured the higher rated horses. He goes the trip and ground will be no problem.

2:20- Pied piper NAP⭐️ @ Evens (2.00) (3 pts) Dead Heat, then went overruled wit 2nd some online bookies paid out, others didn’t ❌

On paper Pied piper is by far the best. He travelled very strongly throughout his race in Cheltenham and on paper that is the best form. He is rated 144 which looks correct but he’s still open to more improvement. He handles the ground and trip and should be too good for this field.

2:55- Protektorat @ 3/1 (2pts) ❌

This race tends to favour the favourites with 5/6 winners being favourites. This race looks a battle between Protektorat and Conflated. conflated looked to be in contention last time out when falling but running to a rating of 164. His penultimate run looks better than it actually is and I don’t think his jumping will be his assets today. I favour Protektorat. He jumps very well and looks a very nice staying prospect who loves the ground. He looks a much more progressive horse than conflated and ran a great race in the gold cup last time. The Skeltons are in great form and I have him roughly 4lbs better than conflated with more room for improvement aswell

3:30- Epatante @ 2/1 (2pts) ✅

This looks. Straight shootout between Epatante and Zanahiyr again. The selection came out on top last time in Cheltenham by a length when pulling away at the line. She also hit the last hurdle fairly hard so the winning margin should have been even more. Her pedigree suggests this step up in trip should suit and she stayed very well up Cheltenham hill last time so I see no reason for the result to be overturned.

4:05- Latenightpass @ 7/2 (1pt) - 1st ✅

The selection was a close second in this last year and has recently won twice over PTP since. He most recent run he won very impressively and has had a wind op since. He will have been laid out for this race all year and if that wind op eeks out a small bit more improvement he could be hard to catch. The conditions suit and he is only 8 and is open to more progression than most in this race. I can see him being bang there at the end and on paper looks to be the best pick

5:15- Ashroe Diamond @ 5/1 (1pt) - 1st ✅

It’s notable that this is Willies pick and he has some good form on offer when 4th in Leopardstown last time out in a grade 2 affair which looks to be the best form on offer. He looks a horse to get better the further he goes so any rainfall will be of benefit which looks to be the forecast. He has progressed nicely throughout his races and looks a good pick on paper to me.

PLEASE READ POST CAREFULLY MINE & HARRY TIPS ARE SEPARATELY, whether you follow us both or not it’s personal preference but if you are and there’s a race where we may have the same horse I recommend not doubling points. My fancy selections are 2 point (2%) for Win selections & 1 point Each way unless stated otherwise.

Below this thread is more of a discussion and people’s opinion/verdict be sensible with your stakes following other Members, remember you guys are on here to follow my tips, this is more of a chat, and if your not somewhat educated with horse racing please don’t just pick out random horses for the sake of it.

If your advising a Horse Tip etc I recommend sharing a bit of Reasoning/Research along with your selection.