Cheltenham Day 4 Tips 🏇 Each Race with Write ups 📝 + Harrys Tips Fridays Horse Thread (HORSE RELATED ONLY) - PLEASE READ FULL POST!!! (Patreon)

3 Profitable Days from 3 ✅✅✅ A Return on Investment in 19 out of the 21 races so far 🤯

A UNBELIEVABLE statistic. the 2 races we didn’t have the Winner or Place Profit was Run wild Fred last race on Day 1 coming 2nd & Sire Du Berlais yesterday who jumped poorly and lost,

When I say ROI it means we either had the Winner or Each way placement of 5/1 (6.00) or better for them 19 races.

Today is the toughest card on paper folks and I seriously mean it when I say be sensible & responsible with your stakes, if you’ve following with me for the week don’t blow all your profit by going high stakes for the last day it’s a common mistake people make, and if your a new member who had a bad week and looking to claw or win money back please don’t chase your losses, even if for example you do win your money back or profit it’s extremely bad habit and you will end up digging yourself a bigger hole from chasing, bet with money your comfortable with folks and just because we’ve had a great week doesn’t mean it will happen again today, Good luck to everyone having a bet & Enjoy!

I RECOMMEND MY HOSES AS SINGLES NOT MULTIPLES OR ACCUMULATORS

READ FULL - ALL MY TIPS (ROB) FOR EACH RACE WITH WRITE UPS, THE ADDITIONAL HORSE TIPS POSTED BELOW THEM ARE FROM A HORSE TIPSTER HARRY I’VE HIRED ON HERE & HE HAS PROFITED OVER 225+ POINTS PROFIT NOT INCLUDING STAKES ON HIS HORSE PICKS WITHIN THE PAST MONTH, HIS TIPS ARE SEPARATE FROM MINE AND WE MAY CLASH WITH 1 OR 2 RACES.

Horse Staking Plan 📊⬇️

If your new my fancies are 1-2% stake, so if your betting each way it’s 1 point each way (2 points total) (2%) and if your betting Win it’s Straight Win 2 points (2%) unless stated otherwise. We look to continue the solid festival form going into Day 4,

1:30 Cheltenham

Pied Piper (More Markets) ‘Betting Without Favourite’ - 6/4 (2.50)

(READ CAREFULLY, This selection is in ‘More Markets’ and basically means for him to win however in the scenario if the favourite ‘Vauban’ was to Win, then Pied Piper 2nd, our bet wins.

Closely matched at top of the market and I see this as a 3 horse race on paper, these clashed against each other at Punchestown in maiden hurdle and Pied Piper won by 1/2 a length, they pulled 15 lengths clear of HMS Searhorse in 3rd, a horse which we profited on each way earlier this week at 12/1 (13.00) Pied piper going for a possible 4 in a row however the Fav ‘Vauban’ looked impressive beating ‘Fil Dor’ by 3 lengths last time out at Leopardstown February 5th in a grade one.

2:10 Cheltenham

Top bandit - 14/1 (15.00)- Advising ‘Each Way’ Sky bet paying 8 Places

Don’t really like the look of this race, Wide open field of 26 horses, handicap debut is interesting factor, Won last 3 races, 1 of which was here in a maiden hurdle October 22nd a beat a consistent sort, ‘Brorson’, Won prep race at punchestown in December by 4 lengths, main concern would be has massively drifted from 6/1 in the exchange, Davy Russell on board for Gordon Ellitott.

2:50 Cheltenham

Ginto - 3/1 (4.00)

Another race where I can’t say that I’ve much confidence, competitive field. interesting factor is Ginto skipped the Ballymore on Wednesday to run in this, has won all 3 races over hurdles, most impressive was at Navan in a grade 2 winning by 11 lengths back in December, market support in the exchange is good sign, The Fav Hillcrest main danger on paper, with horses I advise straight win on anything less than 4/1 (5.00), personal preference on each way or ‘to be placed’ market, as a different angle of approach, Jack Kennedy on board for Gordon Elliott.

3:30 Cheltenham

Minella Indo 5/1 (6.00) Advising Each Way Sky bet paying 5 places

Very competitive race, for those unfamiliar this is the biggest race of the week and perhaps 1 where your better off watching than betting,

Minella Indo a horse which i’m fond of, Patreon members that were following my tips last year my remember when advised Minella Indo for the Gold cup when winning at 9/1 (10.00), A Plus Tard was 2nd by 1 1/4 lengths, race form this season has been poor however if at its best and stays with the pace will be thereabouts.

4:10 Cheltenham

Billaway - 5/2 (3.50)

Ex Co-owner of Billaway was on my flight over to Cheltenham and he said that still has contact with connections involved the horse mentioned they fancy going 1 better this year and said ‘the head gear should see him do well’, whether we see Billaway backing this up is another question, finished 2nd in this race last year by a short head on good to soft ground, & 2nd in 2020 also I’m not one for hyping up when I get word unless it’s genuine but I’m sharing what was said. Billaway Has more 2nds in career than wins, Paddy Mullins on board may show the difference.

Negative factor is ‘Winged Leader’ who is 11/2 (6.50) beaten Billaway January 23rd at Thurles by 12 lengths, although Billaway made a mistake 3 fences out.

4:50 Cheltenham

Elimay 2/1 (3.00)

1 of Kevin o Ryan’s 6 horses which he mentioned to me when was chatting him, overall so far I’ve been slightly disappointed with the tips he shared although 2 close seconds with Queens Brooke and tiger roll & Imprevise placed at drift price of 20/1 (21.00), finished 2nd in this last year by 1/2 a length to stablemate Colreevy, who only ran once since and that was a grade 1 at Punchestown and beaten monkfish by 8 lengths,

Elimay narrowly beaten by 1/2 a length to 2nd Fav in this race ‘Mount Ida’ who is talented and rightly the main danger in the exchange, new cheekpieces tongue-tie shown an improved jumping performance at Naas February 12th however lower classes opposition.

5:30 Cheltenham - Last race of the festival 1 of the hardest races of the week to pick the winner in throughout the years cases to be made for a few, I personally won’t be having a bet on this race but I know many of you will be like to know my view,

Admantly chosen 7/1 (8.00) - Advising Each Way Sky bet paying 6 Places

Over 4 career runs 2 Wins 2 2nds, most recently Won at Thurles when well favoured by 27 lengths, ground conditions would be main concern as isn’t versatile on heavy as seen at cork in January, bred to be suited by this longer distance of 2m 4f which may suit, perhaps worth a market check closer to the off, Trained by Willie Mullins.

Please Read top message in full before placing any of these horse bets on day 4,

Cheltenham day 4

1:30:

This race his down to another battle between Vauban and Pied piper. The pair met back in December when Pied piper came out on top. Pied piper then went on to run in the JCB qualifier when looking like a good thing winning on the bridle, although that race was against must worst competition than he’ll face today he did do it in great fashion. However my preference is for Vauban. When they met in December he jumped very poorly losing at least 1/2 a length if not more at every hurdle, he also raced very keen the entire way around and looked to be coming with a wet sail at the last when making a dogs dinner of it and still almost getting back up. That was Vaubans first run back from a break whereas Pied piper had a recent flat outing so probably shaped that bit fitter. There is an extra furlong today aswell which I feel will suit Vauban more. Vauban then went on to beat Fil dor next time out when cruising to the front, again he jumped novicey but it was better, he seems to jump better when going at top speed and looks as though he wants a strong pace which he’ll have today, I’m expecting another Mullins win.

Win selection- Vauban @15/8

2:10:

I think this has to be the toughest race to predict all week, very little stats to go off and I have about 12 horses that are within 1 or 2 pounds of each other. My preference is for Broomfield burg. On paper I had I like to move it coming out on top, he looks a very progressive 5 year old who loves it around cheltenham. He beat Broomfield the last day out but there is now a weight turnaround in a favour of Broomfield which will help. Broomfield was favourite that day and was tanking into the race up to the last fence, he just didn’t have enough to get home but he pulled extremely hard that day and never settled, with a stiff test that I’m expecting today I feel as though he’ll settle better and be much closer at the line, I think 25/1 is a huge price consider it was just that last race that made his odds so big. I think he’s a great pick with Nickey Henderson in flying form.

E/W selection- Broomfield burg E/W 7 places @25/1

2:50:

I amn’t a massive fan of Hillcrest here, the opposition he beat last time weren’t up to the same standard as the rest today and that was a very tough race on heavy ground only 27 days ago. I have this race between Ginto and Minella cocooner. They are both very closely matched on hollow games beating him by similar distances but I feel as though Minella cocooner will come out on top today. He looks to have a better jumping action than Ginto and is much slicker through the air, Ginto tends to jump to the right which won’t help on todays track and may be a key factor which looks to be a close race. Minella cocooner won very impressively last time out and looks open to more progression than Ginto, he is progressing at a much faster rate and to me he looks a better stayer, he is bred to appreciate the step up in trip whereas I amn’t sure the extra distance will suit Ginto.

E/W selection- Minella cocooner E/W 5 places @10/1

3:30:

This looks to be one of the easier gold cups to predict than that of the past. Their a few notable stats, horses must be aged between 7 and 9 but ideally 7 or 8. The horse must have raced within 83 days but have had at least 33 days break. This race doesn’t fancy an outsider so choices should be narrowed down to horses 9/1 or less and 12 out of the last 12 winners had a previous run at Cheltenham. With all that taken into account I have this as another battle between Galvin and A plus tard with Galvin coming out on top again. He beat A plus tard last time out when just getting back up at the line and looks as though this extra distance will be in his favour today. He had a very impressive win in the festival last year over 3M 5F and has gradually improved since, he is also well able to handle the conditions. To me A plus tard isn’t open to much more improvement, he’ll run his race and be bang there but I feel as though Galvin still has room for more improvement, he is gradually getting betting and should out stay this field. Also with De bromheads horses not firing I’m taken to take sides with the Gordon Elliot trained Galvin.

Win selection- Galvin @7/2

4:10:

I have only one winner for this race, Billaway. This will have been the target all year, he was beaten by winged leader two runs back but that was his seasonal reappance so wasn’t out to win but he stuck on nicely. He then went on to win in canter next time out and everything looks good for today. He was just touched off in this last year when miles ahead of 3rd. Having a run at Cheltenham is key and many of these lack that. He has the experience and is primed and ready for this, I’m expecting a good run.

Win selection - Billaway @2/1

4:50- Mount Ida @2/1 (Write up to follow)

My Tips & Harrys are separate so we may clash on 1 or 2 races, mine are posted in order of race 1 - 7 then his below, these are advised a singles not multiples or accumulators. (READ FULL POST)

As stated above any abuse to staff or another member when there’s a loser you’ll be removed, if your a new member I recommend downloading Patreon app it’s best for notifications when I post the daily bets or any updates 📲

Good luck to everyone having a bet, Be sensible, be Responsible and Enjoy.