Football NAP Double ⚽️ & Horse Fancy 🏇 (Patreon)

Hesitated with 1 or 2 NBA Bets last night as i’d low confidence frustratingly both of them won,

Danil Medvedev followed up his opening round 3-0 victory with a 3-1 Win this morning 🎾

Quiet Thursday overall, Christopher Rowes Tips have been posted in the Horse Thread 🏇

Football NAP Double ⚽️

Getafe vs Granada over 4.0 Cards - Spain La Liga - 6pm 🕰

Liverpool to Qualify - England EFL Cup - 7:45pm 🕰

Odds - 5/4 (2.25)

Advising stake 4 points (4%)

Reasoning 📝

Granada have the 2nd highest card average per game in La liga this season while Getafe have the 3rd highest card average per game overall in the league, over the past year in all competitions Getafe average 3.80 cards per match while Granada average 2.90, combined average of 6.70 per match.

Over 4.5 landing in 80% of Granda’s games & 65% in Getafe.

The referee for tonight Isidro Díaz de Mera Escuderos in his last 90 games has handed out an average of 6.03 cards per match, over 4.5 in 68% of them. with both sides struggling this season in both half of the table expect a scrappy affair.

5 Most recent H2h card counts between these 2 sides ⬇️

October 28th 2021- 5 yellows

May 23rd 2021 - 6 yellows

October 25th 2020 - 6 yellows

June 12th 2020 - 10 yellows

October 31st 2019 - 10 yellows

2nd leg of the EFL Cup, 1st leg resulted 0-0 which Liverpool dominated with 78% possession against 10 men Arsenal side, Xhaka will miss out tonight through suspension, although Liverpool will be without Salah, Mane & Nabi Keita because of AFCON, the previous 2 H2h games in 2021 Liverpool Won 4-0 & 3-0, In the past 17 H2h games from 2021-2017 Arsenal only won once within 90 mins, other 2 occasions in cup was by penalties 7 Liverpool won and the the remaining 7 resulted in a draw.

Liverpool have only lost 1 game in last 15 matches in all competitions, Winning 11.

Although cup football can lack intensity and Liverpool with weakened side I’d lean towards them progressing, Arsenal looked very poor in their loss to Nottingham Forrest 11 days ago registering 0 shots on target, also an interesting statistic perhaps for those who may be fond of an inplay bet, previous to Arsenals last 0-0 game vs Liverpool in the 1st leg, there was a goal scored after the 75th min 9 games in a row for Arsenal’s fixtures.

Horse Fancy 🏇

Horse Name - Intervention

Course - Newcastle 7:00pm 🕰

Odds - 6/5 (2.20)

Well supported in the exchange from 13/8 last night, Won handicap at Wolverhampton 10 days ago then finished 2nd by a neck 5 days ago at Lingfield when not having an ideal trip, has the same mark today as for those 2 races, (no penalty for the win) strong claims over this 6 furlong trip, a noticeable market mover in the field is horse named ‘Blackjack’ priced at 10/1 (11.00) last night now backed into 9/2 (5.50) perhaps an each way hedge bet personal preference.

€1,000 Premier League Last man standing cash comp post will be up later, 26 remain, Points system / staking plan briefly explained as top comment below 📊⬇️