4 Premier League ⚽️ & 2 Horse Fancies 🏇 (Patreon)

Last Saturday 11 from 12 advised Bets Won inc a horse which placed at 40/1 (41.00)

Doesn’t mean it’s going to happen again & that’s why we have the staking plan in place.

*Fancies* are Selections I’d be less confident with in comparison to my point advised bets so recommend no more than 1-2 points (1-2%) per fancy.

Newcastle vs Burnley over 3.5 Cards 8/11 (1.73)

Looking at this match on paper I recommend avoiding, however an angle which looks decent on paper is scrappy affair at the bottom of the table, Newcastle’s team card average is 2.71 over their last 139 matches while Burnley’s is 2.14, a combine average of 4.85

Referee for the match Paul tierney averages 3.31 cards per match in his last 222 games.

Southampton Draw No Bet - 4/6

For those unfamiliar with ‘Draw no bet’ it basically means a team to win but if the match results in a draw the selection is void & money back.

Brighton are without a win in 11 matches, losing 3 and drawing 7, if it wasn’t for a late 88th min equaliser against West Ham during the week another draw to add to their tally, Brighton also missing 5 players through injury.

Southampton have also been inconsistent so far this season expect a close match however I’d lean towards them picking up a result.

Liverpool Win + Under 5 Goals - 5/6 (1.83) (This selection can be placed using the ‘Bet builder’ feature

5 of Wolves last 6 matches have seen under 2.5 goals and their most recent 2 games both resulted in back to back 0-0 against Norwich & Burnley, All of Liverpool’s premier league wins this season have seen them score 1st & lead at half time, all of their last 5 H2h games

This selection won, their most recent meeting was March 15th which Liverpool Won 1-0. Wolves have the lowest scoring GD in the premier league with just 12 goals score & 12 conceded over their 14 matches played.

Watford Most Booking Points / Most Cards - Best odds - Sky Bet - Evens (2.00)

(The last 6 teams I’ve advised in a row for this specific selection has won)

Alternative option to this selection would be over 1.5 or over 2.5 team cards,

Price fluctuation in comparison to other bookmakers, Watford average 2.57 team cards per match in last 139 games while Man City average 1.86, 2 out of 3 of their most recent H2h’s this selection has came in.

2 Horse Fancies 🏇

Course - Aintree 2:40pm 🕰

Horse Name - Snow Leopardess

Odds - 11/2 (6.50)

Advising ‘Each way’ Sky bet paying 7 places instead of 4

Did well over 3m on soft late last year before decent 4th over 3m6f in the NH Chase at Cheltenham, resumed progress with a clearcut win back over 3m on soft at Bangor on reappearance last month (5lb higher in weight today) jumped consistently & won by 2 3/4 lengths over soft ground, although 21 in the field soft ground looks to suit this horse more than others on paper, the rise in weight would be main concern.

Course - Wolverhampton 4pm 🕰

Horse Name - Closing Bell

Odds - 3/1 (4.00)

Personally not fond of this track as renoun for throwing up odd results however been sent this from a connection today which expects this to win, wouldn’t usually recommend each way on anything less than 4/1 (5.00) however at this track probably better off personal preference, ‘to be placed’ is Evens (2.00) which means finish in top 3.

Tough matches on today overall, no NAP bet at the moment but will be scanning throughout the day for value later on, Good luck to everyone who remains in the €1,000 Last man standing challenge!

My points system/ staking plan is briefly explained as top comment below for new members 📊⬇️