Update + Football NAP Double + Horse Fancy 🏇 (Patreon)

Quick recap last 22 days only has had 3 losing days on here following my staking plan & points system which is ridiculous standard, as 1 member said you guys have been ‘spoilt’ everyone’s so use to winning so consistently that when we do have a loser or a below average day people are quick to say something,

If your a new member I kindly ask don’t judge my tips after 1 day or below average week, let me know your feedback after 1 month.

There’s a reason why I’ve 2,339 Members, we’re Winning day in day out long term.

Reminder for everyone to enter their team for the €1,000 premier league last man standing comp from yesterday’s post, deadline is midnight tomorrow night.

Unfortunately today is bleak overall while looking for value, I’m not a big fan of the Europa league as majority of you know, I’ll keep an eye out for an inplay.

Football NAP Double (over 73% of my NAP Doubles won in the past 60 days)

Celtic vs Bayer Leverkusen over 8 Corners - Europa League - 5:45pm 🕰

Leicester vs Legia Warsaw over 3.0 Cards - Europa League - 8pm 🕰

(If your on Bet 365 you can add this cards selection as a double by using the ‘Bet Builder’ feature, on bookmakers like Sky bet for example it would be title as over 30 booking points’)

Odds - 1.17/1 (2.17) Best odds Paddy power

Advising stake 3 points (3% of balance)

Reasoning 📝

Without going to much in depth on statistics, Bayer Leverkusen average 5.70 team corners per match in their last 100 games, while Celtic average 7.90 per match in their last 100, a combined average of 13.6, the last time these played each other end of September we profited off Leverkusen winning 4-0 and that day their was a total of 10 corners, because of group positions expect a fast pace match in the final 3rd which on paper should see corners. Leverkusen’s most recent match in the Bundesliga seen a corner count of 7-7 (14).

The Leicester vs Legia Warsaw match is 1 of the most important fixtures for both sides out of all the games tonight in regards to both teams Qualifying out of their group, after 4 games Leicester some how find themselves bottom of the group & legia in 3rd however a win for either side would put them top of the group, when they last played in September there was 6 yellows, the referee tonight is Denis Aytekin from Germany he averages 3.30 cards per match in last 220 games which is rather low card average however in last Leverkusen match he was in charge of in the league he handed out 5 yellows 1 red, & also gave out 4 yellows & a red in his 2nd last Europa league match which was back in august.

Because of the qualification circumstances expect a scrappy affair from both, Leicester average 1.70 team cards in last 100 games, while legia Warsaw average 3.00 team cards per match in their last 100.

A combined average of 4.70 cards per match.

Horse Fancy 🏇Fancies are selections I’d be less confident with in comparison to my point advised bets so recommend no more than 1-2 points (1-2%)

Course Wolverhampton - 4:35pm 🕰

Horse Name - Saleymm

Odds - Evens (2.00)

For those who are new If I don’t advise each way beside the horses name it’s straight Win,

Reasoning 📝

Once again it’s an occasion where I get informed that the yard are backing this today, As I mentioned last time we had 1 at Wolverhampton I personally don’t like this track as it’s renoun for throwing up odd results,

Anyhow here’s my verdict it’s been well supported in the exchange from 2/1 (3.00) Showed good form when winning last time out at Chelmsford by 7 lengths over a distance of 7 furlongs, up in trip today to 1m 142y, on paper looks the one to beat, James Doyle on board, main danger imo is ‘Summa peto’ a horse which we profited from in the past, potentially a small e/w punt hedge bet at 4/1 (5.00) personal preference.

I know it’s quiet Thursday in regards to volume of total bets but I’m not throwing out low confident fancies for the sake of it, Quality over Quantity always.

Darts Nap single lined up for tomorrow which will be posted later today.

Shoutout to a Member called ‘Fox’ who has tipped 5 Horse Winners in a row in the comments section!!

My Staking plan & Points system is explained briefly as top comment below for new members 📊⬇️