NAP Double, Rolling ACCA Bet 1 Builder 📈 + Champions league Football fancies ⚽️ (Patreon)

In regards to the €1,000 last man standing cash comp challenge the full explanation of when it starts and the rules etc. Will be posted on here in due course.

NAP Double:

Gael Monfils Win - Tennis - ATP Paris 🎾 - 5pm 🕰

Bayern Munich vs Benfica under 11 corners - Football - UEFA Champions League ⚽️ - 8pm 🕰

Odds - Evens (2.00)

Advising stake 4 Points (4% of balance)

Reasoning :

Gael Monfils is a player who doesn’t owe us anything the last 5 times I’ve selective advised him to win in the matches the past few months he has done so, he has won in the opening round in all 7 tour level events that he has entered so far in the 2nd half of 2021

The world number 22 has a preference playing on hard court and 14 of his 32 wins since the start of the 2020 season have come on the surface, which includes title winning campaigns in Rotterdam and Montepellier in 2020 and a run to the final in Sofia last year.

His opponent is world number 69 Miomir Kecmanovic who is 22 years old, he has lost 6 and only Won 1 in the main draw of masters 100 events, my only doubt with Monfils is these players never played each other before however Monfils is all round the better player on paper and his performance and fitness levels will likely decide the outcome of their 1st meeting.

The corner angle is interesting statistics,

Bayern average 4.80 per match this season while benfica average 7.00,

The most recent meeting between these sides was less than 2 weeks ago and the corner count was 4-3 Benfica (7 total)

The other 4 previous H2h matches between these sides in recent years seen counts of

7, 9, 9, 7 (average of 7.8 per match)

Because of Bayern’s approach going forward they have a similar attacking play style as Barcelona going direct in the final 3rd rather than having a high rate of crosses hence why low corner counts on average for their team on average, Benfica have the higher average but because this match is in the Alianz arena expect Bayern to dominate at least 60%+ in possession, expect to see the count below combined average tonight.

Rolling Acca Bet 1 📈 (Goal for this challenge will be 2 points into 20 (example €20 into €200)

Atalanta vs Man United - 2nd half most goals

Odds - Evens

Advising starting stake 2 points (2% of balance)

*if you rather bet the rolling Acca as once off and not rolling over your stake on each bet I recommend 5 points per bet.* (Elite Vip members let me know what you personally prefer)

We Profited off this in the last 3 man United matches I selected, at the weekend against Tottenham, when these 2 sides played last week 2-0 half time 3-2 full time, and then the Leicester vs man United match which seen 4 goals from the 78th min onwards, Ronaldo scored and assisted against Tottenham and he has netted in all 3 of man united’s champions league games this term, twice after the 80th min, over market being well supported for the match tonight and both sides show defensive frailties this season in in the later stages of matches. Alternative option to this selection would be over 1.5 2nd half goals.

Football Fancies ⚽️ (Fancies are selections I’d be less confident with in comparison to my point advised bets so recommend no more than 1-2 points (1-2%) per fancy.

Atalanta Player to be Booked - Marten de Roon - 5/2 (3.50) - 8pm 🕰

This player has picked up a yellow in 2 out of his 3 champions league appearances, including the last match away to man United, he is averaging 2.3 fouls per match in the tournament and 2.7 fouls per match in the Serie A, referee for the match Slavko Vincic averaged 4.57 yellows per match in last 7 games not including 3 red cards, potential inplay value on cards overall in the match.

Chelsea Win to Nil - 5/6 (1.83) - 5:45pm 🕰

Malmo have lost all 3 of their Champions League group games to nil, conceding 11 goals overall, Chelsea have Won 5 of their last 6 games and conceded just 2 goals in total. I’m usually not fond of this specific market but looking back at the fixture on the 20th October Chelsea dominated with 71% possession and Malmö registered 0 shots on target in the 4-0 loss, their meeting back in 2019 in the Europa league Chelsea also dominated winning 3-0 and Malmö also registered 0 shots on target for that match. Over the 3 H2h matches Malmö scored 1 goal in 2019 which was their only shot on target within 3 matches against Chelsea.

Sevilla Win - 8/13 - 8pm 🕰

Lille have lost 5 of their last 6 away matches, the reverse fixture of this match less than 2 weeks ago seen a 0-0 scoreline in a match which Sevilla dominated away from home, there was also a low corner count of 3, Lille’s new keeper from this season has only kept a clean sheet in 3 of his 16 matches played, Sevilla well supported in exchange since last night I was looking at an angle of adding them into the NAP today but have gone with as a fancy instead.

Villarreal vs Young Boys over 3.5 cards - 8/13 - 8pm 🕰

Referee for this match is Serdar Gozubukuk he averages 4.83 yellows per match is last 12 games not including 5 red cards, expect a scrappy affair as this group is still wide open, can see why Villarreal are well favoured in the win odds as young boys missing quiet a few players through injuries, over market also has been shortening and neither of these teams have kept a clean sheet in any of their last 5 champions league fixtures.

The last 6 football inplays posted on here won in a row, I’ll be scanning the markets throughout this evening for a potential Inplay bet, i got sent a horse but don’t like the look it myself so not betting or posting it.