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Our NAP Won yesterday making it 16 of the last 21 on Patreon Winning (76.19%) - for those of you who don’t know what a ‘NAP’ is, it’s a tipsters most confident bet of the day.

I personally wasn’t happy with how the fancies went overall yesterday but the NAP & point advised bets are always the most important. Darts World Series starting tomorrow and for new members Darts is 1 of my most profitable sports over the years we cleaned up throughout the tournaments this month & year.


Football NAP Single ⚽️


Bolivar vs Nacional Potosi - 2nd half most goals


(If your unable to find this specific market with your bookmaker, I recommend over 2.5 goals or over 1.5 2nd half goals as an alternative option)


League - The Americas- Bolivia Apertura - 11:15pm 🕰

Odds - Evens (2.00)

Advising stake 3 points (3% of balance)


Reasoning:

I’ve been picky and selective with this market over this month and year with this league and 6 of last 7 advised in this league won for us, from 2021 to 2019 these teams have played 6 times and all 6 of them matches 2nd half most goals has landed, a total of 15 goals scored overall and only 2 of them 15 goals was scored in the 1st half, (86.67%) of goals scored after half time. Over 2.5 goals has landed in all of Bolivars last 7 matches, the over market is being well supported in the exchange since last night which is also a good sign on paper.


Fancies are selections I’d be less confident in comparison to my point advised bets so recommend no more than 1-2 points (1-2%)


Horse Fancy 🏇

Course - Stratford 4:25pm 🕰

Horse Name - Norley

Odds - 7/4 (2.75)

2 good runs from his last 3 starts, probably facing a tough task attempting to give plenty of weight to one who was making it 2-2 in handicaps, in an amateur jockeys' race at Exeter last week (2m2f, good) same ground conditions and trip today, should have plenty going for him off the same mark (up 3lb in future).

Horses have been below par than my usual standard the past few months thankfully we are at the back end of the flat season as majority of you know I much prefer hurdles/fences for long term ROI.

Part of me wants to go back to Fri, Sat, Sunday with them and just go with info only or my stronger fancies but I know there is a high demand for horses on here.


Fancies


Casper Rudd Win - Tennis 🎾 Atp Vienna - 3pm 🕰

(I know he’s short odds but I was close to going with him for Nap so I rather mention him than not)


Granada vs Getafe ‘over 6 Asian Cards’ - 7/10 (1.70) Football - Spain La Liga - 7pm 🕰


(this selection means if the match finishes with exactly 6 it’s full money/stake back.)


Over 6.5 is 10/11 (1.91), potential inplay value waiting to see if at half time a possible of over 4.5 or 5.5 is available depending, card count in last 5 H2h matches has been 6, 6, 10, 10, 6, 8, 7, 7, 7 yellows 2 reds, 6 yellows 1 red. Referee Adrian Cordero Vega averages 6.2 yellows in last match matches, the last Getafe match he was in charge of September 18th he handed out 13 yellow cards in 1 match.


Napoli Win & under 5 goals - 7/10 (1.70) - Football - Italian Serie A - 7:45pm 🕰


(This selection can be placed using the Bet builder feature)


New Members, if you haven’t already I recommend downloading the Patreon app you’ll get notified when I post all my bets and updates rather than email or web browser but it’s personal preference.

Not a whole lot today with value overall that that why the outlay today is small, I still have to message a ton of people in regards to the staking plan but for now I’m dropping the explanation of the points system & staking plan below this post in the Comments ⬇️

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