Premier League Football Analysis & Fancies ⚽️ (Patreon)

Point advised bets will be posted shortly along with Horse fancies 🏇 last reminder for those remaining in €1,000 last man standing cash comp their is 31 People who progressed from week 1 and never commented a team for this weekend under Sundays post, I’ll be generous this 1 weekend at have the deadline at 3pm, but your unable to pick Liverpool/Burnley. (If your a new member Ignore this message)

Premier league Fancies ⚽️

(Fancies are selections I’d be less confident with in comparison to my point advised bets so recommend no more than 1-2 points stake, 1-2%)

Liverpool vs Burnley - 12:30 (inplay)

Early kick off as majority of you know I prefer to avoid, Liverpool Win under 4.5 Goals 8/11 (1.73) - this selection can be placed using bet Builder* Currently 11th min inplay some bookmakers have Win & Under 3.5 available.

Aston Villa vs Newcastle - 2nd half most goals Evens (2.00) - 3pm 🕰

Villas opening match of the season seen a scoreline of 3-2 vs promoted side Watford, & Newcastle’s opener seen a scoreline of 4-2, both matches had 3 2nd half goals, expect both teams to work on their defensive frailties heading into this match, rather than going with over 2.5 this option looks decent, Both teams have scored in 10 of Aston Villa’s last 11 Premier League games, over market well supported in the exchange expect the match to open up in the final 3rd.

Crystal Palace vs Brentford - Under 2.5 goals 8/13 - 3pm 🕰

On paper I liked the look of seeing cards in this match as expect to be a scrappy affair, the line is over 2.5 which surprised me but then when looking into the referee David cootes match average has put me off, in 30 games last season he handed out 71 yellows, average of 2.3 per match, and he was lenient in the Villa vs Newcastle match which only seen 1 card last weekend. Maybe worth a market check inplay or at half time, Expect a defensive approach from both.

Leeds vs Everton - Everton to Score in 2nd Half 4/5 (1.80) (This selection can be found in Bet 365 ‘Specials) -3pm 🕰

The bookies have Leeds as 11/10 favs for this match I personally would have the betting a bit closer matched as Leeds have lost 5 of their last 7 matches drawing 2, conceding 20 goals in them 7 matches (2.85 per match) although majority of these matches were pre season Friendlies they still had a decent line up out, they also conceded a 2nd half goal in all of their last 10 matches.

Man City vs Norwich - Norwich Most Cards/ Alternative Card handicap 4/5 (1.80) - 3pm 🕰

Man City last season were the 2nd most lenient team when it came to picking up cards, getting a total of 46 in 38 matches, average of 1.21 per match, the last 5 h2h’s between these side seen counts of:

1-1, 3-1 Norwich, 3-1 Norwich, 2-0 Norwich, 2 yellow 1 red Norwich, 2 Yellows city, 4 out of last 5 this selection landing, expect City to dominate this match in possession throughout the 90 mins which should see Norwich have a higher foul tally.

Brighton vs Watford - Brighton no clean sheet 8/11 (1.73) - 5:30pm 🕰

Tough match to seek value on, wouldn’t be too confident on this selection or this match in general will keep an eye out for an inplay bet, I think both of these sides are underrated and Watford look a bit overpriced considering they put 3 goals past Villa last weekend, rather than double chance Brighton to concede slightly safer option on paper.

5 from 7 Premier league fancies winning last Saturday on the opening day, Matches on paper today look close on paper, not a whole lot I’d be strongly confident with so please be sensible with stakes, just because new season is back doesn’t mean increase your average bet size,

Good luck to all having a bet Horse fancies & point advised bets posted shortly.