England 🏴󠁧󠁢󠁥󠁮󠁧󠁿 vs Denmark 🇩🇰 Double - 8pm 🕰 Analysis + Fancies & 5/1 (6.00) Horse Fancy 🏇 (Patreon)

Cleaned up the bookies yesterday yet again.. long hours researching paying off for us all. Just because we’re on a win streak does not mean increase your stakes, stick with the staking plan!

Bet Builder Double: - 8pm 🕰

England 🏴󠁧󠁢󠁥󠁮󠁧󠁿 vs Denmark 🇩🇰

Odds - Evens (2.00)

Under 4 Goals in match both teams combined

England over 1.5 team offsides

Advising stake 3 points (3% of balance)

Reasoning:

Under goals market being well supported in the exchange, mentioned early in the tournament that I highly rate Denmark and think their underrated, I wouldn’t be confident betting against them, 1 common factor with England matches in this tournament is low scores, 5 of their 7 matches were under 1.5 goals, 4-0, 2-0, 1-0, 0-0, 1-0, 1-0, 1-0. They are yet to concede a goal, the only challenging team they came across in my opinion was against Germany, I recommend avoiding the Win or qualify markets on this match as I wouldn’t be surprised if Denmark shock everyone as the underdogs, without Eriksen they have still looked a very solid team going forward in the final 3rd.

Regarding the offside selection, before anyone asks this selection can not be found on majority of bookmakers, Bet 365 & sky bet have markets available for it, but bet 365 is better odds.

England’s team offside counts in last 10 matches:

2, 2, 5, 2, 2, 1 (friendly), 0 (friendly), 3, 0, 4.

7 out of last 10 over 1.5 landing, if we see them play a 4-3-3 formation tonight invoking Saka more likely to see them getting 2 or more on paper.

Fancies - 8pm

Pierre Hojberg to be Carded - 9/4 (3.25)

Under 6 England Team Corners

Kasper Dolberg over 0.5 shots on Target 4/6

Over 0 Cards for England

4 fold as Bet Builder pays 10/1 (11.00)

(€10 Free bet on Bet 365 for majority of users)

Last night the only selection to let down the 14/1 bet builder for the Italy match was over 3 cards!

‘Fancies’ are selections I’d be less confident with on paper in comparison to my point advised selections so recommend no more than 1-2 points (1-2% stake)

Horse Fancy 🏇

Course - Fairyhouse 6:25 🕰

Horse Name - Lolly Yeats

Odds 5/1 (6.00) advising each way

Backed in from 11/1 this morning, the yard really fancies this one chances today, big field & being flat is putting me off points, 19 in the race & bookies only paying 3 places with each way which is a shaft because it’s classed as a maiden.

Ran a good race recently at the Curragh on debut didn’t get a clear run in either, Sean Davis on board, other horse I like in the race which thought I’d mention is Offiah also priced at 5/1 (2nd)

Edit after race - (Lolly Yeats drifted out to 12/1, Traded 1/2 inplay on final furlong looked like was going to win, ran out of gas, looks like finished 4th, 1 place off a payout)

Regarding horses I usually stick to my fancies Friday - Saturday - Sunday, unless info or strong fancy but for big events like Galway end of this month I’ll be analysing every race, each day, for the whole week.

Any Questions Message Me!