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Undecided on France vs Germany later tonight will wait for line ups closer to kick off and keep an eye out for inplay value.


Football BB Double ⚽️ - 5pm 🕰


Portugal over 13.5 Free Kicks

+

Hungary over 6.5 Goal Kicks


(Bet builder Double on Bet 365 pays 4/5)


Advising stake 5 points (5% of balance)


Reasoning:

Expect this to be a match that Portugal dominate in Possession & on the offense in shot stats etc. in Hungary’s friendly match against Ireland last week they were scrappy fouling and Ireland got total of 31 team free kicks in the match, in Hungary’s last 5 matches they conceded 94 free kicks an average of 18.8 per match and 3 of the them matches were agaisnt Ireland, Andorra & San Marino, a Strong Portugal side will have a much higher average of possession which should see increased rate on fouls from Hungary throughout the match.

also fancy Portugal dominating the corner count for those who may like to add an additional selection into the bet builder.


For those that are new, with ‘fancies’ I recommend no more than 3 points (3%) on each as singles, personally with horses I prefer to stick with Hurdles & Inside Info for point stake selections. Also as many of you know I’m not a big fan of flat racing, as can be Volatile.


2:30 Ascot - Palace Pier 1st

Difficult to look past the fav at 2/5 unlikely to be beaten on paper but would personally recommend avoiding this race them odds not much value.


3:05 Ghisburn 11/2 each way

Won by just over 6 lengths at Newbury 1 month ago on good to soft, good to firm today, well supported in market.



3:40 Battaash 2/1

Won this race in 2020, off since august Won 5 of last 6 races, ground conditions also suit to his liking. Hard to look past on paper.


4:20 Poetic Flare 4/1 1st

Won the 2,000 Guinneas May 1st, close 2nd in the Irish version 3 weeks ago, leading player on ratings and should play a huge role, provided he’s sufficiently recharged after a 24 day rest period.


5:00 M C Muldoon 6/1 each way 2nd


I did also like cape gentleman in this race well supported overnight backed into 10/3 fav, Ryan Moore on board for Willie Mullins for MC Muldoon good record in this race for both trainer & jockey.


5:35 Patrick Sarsfield 4/1

Big improver last season, he’s the only listed/group winner in this line up who isn’t saddled with a penalty and he holds leading claims at the weights.


6:10 Saldier 10/3


I fancy Saldier for the Willie Mullins & Ryan Moore duo, first flat outing for over 4 years when winning at Listowel earlier this month, Today’s opposition more competitive but looks good chances on paper a slight drift over night from 11/4.


Arthurian fable 10/1 each way 3rd


One to mention as an each way, close 5th in the King George handicap at this meeting and 2nd in the Melrose at York. Well supported, Ground also suits, Jim Crowley on board for Brian Meehan.


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