Afternoon Folks! (Saturday’s Tips) (Patreon)

So far went with this Darts/Football Double @ Evens (Last 2 Doubles this Week Won)

(Other Football Fancies posted below)

Double :

Spezia vs Cagliari over 3.5 cards - Italy Serie A 🇮🇹 5pm 🕰

Martin Adams Win vs Jared Cole - Darts Online Live league 🎯 9:45pm 🕰

Advising stake : 10 points (10% of balance)

Reasoning :

Referee for this match is Daniele Orsato, same ref who was ahead of the Chelsea vs atletico match midweek where he handed out 5 yellows and a red, he averages 4.6 cards per match in his 18 matches this season not including 4 reds, in his last 9 Serie A matches he’s handed out 52 yellows & 2 reds, which is an average of 5.7 per match over the past 4 months. He is not renoun for being lenient.

Another factor why this match is expected to be cagey is Cagliari are sitting sitting 18th in the table 1 point from safety, while Spezia are 4 points ahead of them in 15th, most recent h2h was in November where there was 4 yellows but a more noticeable stat is 34 fouls, which is above average.

2 other H2h matches when both sides were in Serie B back in 2016 there was 35 fouls in that match & 7 yellows.

& the match in 2015 seen 7 yellows & a red, although no crowd atmosphere on paper, expecting a cagey match and plenty of fouls.

In the Darts later tonight in form experienced 3 Time BDO World Champion Martin Adams plays young 20 year old Jared Cole, even though this tournament is called the ‘Online live league’ it’s actually not online the players are playing in a behind closed doors set up, overall Adams has been way more consistent the past fortnight, Multiple averages of 100+ and he’s won 10 of his last 12 matches this week, including a 4-2 win over Cole, they have played 16 matches online within the past year, Martin Adams leads the h2h count 11-5, majority of them were comfortable win tally’s also.

Other fancies (Not points advised)

6 fold pays 19/1 (Lucky 63 is Safer option)

4 Fold on the Fancies pays 9/1 (Lucky 15 is Safer Option)

Rugby Six nations - Scotland vs Italy 2nd Half Highest score - 4/6 /2:15pm 🕰 🇪🇺

Key stat - This selection has came in 5 of their last 7 H2h matches, also has landed in 10 of Italy’s last 12 matches.

Fc Koln vs Borussia Dortmund 2nd Half Highest score - Evens /2:30pm Germany Bundesliga 🕰🇩🇪

Key stat - All of their last 5 H2h matches has seen this selection land, also landing in all of Fc Koln’s last 5 matches. 2nd half most goals also came in 4 of Dortmund’s last 5.

Everton most cards vs Man City - 5/6 /5:30pm FA Cup 🕰 🏴󠁧󠁢󠁥󠁮󠁧󠁿

Key stat - when it comes to getting cards in the league Man City are the most lenient team this season, getting just 30 cards in 30 matches, (average 1 per match) while Everton are 7th most lenient getting 46 cards in 28 matches (average of 1.64 per match)

Brighton vs Newcastle under 2.5 goals - 4/6 /8pm Premier league 🕰🏴󠁧󠁢󠁥󠁮󠁧󠁿

Key stat - 7 of their last 8 matches has seen under 2.5 goals, 5 of which under 1.5, last 7 scores, 3-0, 0-0, 0-0, 1-1, 1-0, 0-0, 1-0.

From January 27th to February 13th Brighton played 6 matches and 5 of them were under 1.5 goals, 0-0, 1-0, 1-0, 1-1, 1-0, 0-0.

1 point stake advised on 4 fold fancies @ 9/1 (1% of balance)

I’lll be keeping an eye out for Inplay value throughout the day.

Also, I’m going to do another FREE Cash Giveaway today added to the one from the other day, Winners of the Cheltenham Cash comp will also be announced later this evening 🏆

Good luck to all having a punt, Any Questions Message me!