Football Double & Golf Single ⚽️ ⛳️ (Patreon)

1st leg of Europa league match few fancies but decided to go with this double,

Double ⚽️⚽️ @ 6/5

Man united vs Ac Milan Under 3.5 goals - 6pm ✅

Granada +1 card handicap - 8pm

Advising stake : 9 points (9% of balance)

Reasoning :

Man united’s last 4 matches have seen scores of 2-0, 0-0, 0-0, 0-0. Ibra will miss out due to injury for Milan, all of their last 5 matches has seen under 3.5 goals, under 2.5 in 3 of them. Under market shortening since last night, because it’s 1st leg of this tie expect similar defensive play styles from both, doesn’t look likely to be a high scoring match on paper.

Granada are number 2 in la liga for most cards given this season, over 3.5 landing in 85% of their 26 matches this season, ‘Granada +1 card handicap’ basically means Granada most cards but they already have a 1 card head start, so in the case of a tie count we still win. If you can’t get this selection with your bookmaker advise over 3.5 cards total for the match, Polish Referee Pawel Raczkowski averages 4.73 cards per match over 134 games.

Granada average 3.10 team cards per match this season, while Molde average 1.80 per match.

In the match betting Molde are heavily shortening to win, were 6/1 last night now 7/2, Granada drifted from 1/2 to 4/5 as they are missing a few players heading into tonight’s 1st leg.

Fancies for other matches like the look Rangers match to have over cards market potential inplay value, and Tottenham match 2nd half most goals looks decent at Evens. (Not advising points)

Golf Single ⛳️ - 6:44pm

Tommy Fleetwood to Win 18 hole match up vs Will Zalatoris @ 8/11

Advising stake 5 points (5% of balance)

Reasoning :

Players Championship TPC sawgrass known you be one of the most difficult courses in the world, Fleetwood had good success here past 2 tournaments that were played in 2018 & 2019, the world number 21 finished Tied 7th in 2018 (-12) & in 2019 Tied 5th (-13) just 3 shots off McIlroy who won it outright.

His match up in the betting is vs 24 year old world number 46 Will Zalatoris who will be making his debut on this course, both players in decent form but the advantage that Fleetwood will have of playing this course twice in the past and had good success here gives him the edge of getting off to a better 1st round, likely will do an inplay outright after the 1st round or 2 depending.