Champions league football tonight ⚽️ (Patreon)

I very rarely change my intital bet but the more research I’ve put in has changed my mind on a selection for tonight, so originally I was going to go with Porto Asia card handicap (most cards) vs Juventus. But instead I’m going with under 4.5 cards in the total match, here’s why :

Single / 8pm

Juventus vs Porto Under 4.5 cards 8/11

Advising stake 10 points (10% of balance)

Reasoning :

Referee for the match is Bjorn Kuipers, looking at his averages he probably has one of the lowest average of cards per match in the champions league I’ve ever seen,

Here’s the stats of his last 6 Europa /champions league matches this season :

Arsenal vs Benfica 1 yellow (13 fouls in the match)

Barca vs PSG 1st leg 1 yellow (27 fouls in the match)

Real Madrid vs Borussia Mochengladbach group stages, 1 yellow (24 fouls in the match)

Porto vs Man City group stage, 2 yellows (23 fouls in the match)

Rennes vs Chelsea group stages, 2 yellows (23 fouls in the match)

Dortmund vs Zenit group stages, 2 yellows (14 fouls in the match)

All 6 of his last matches across Europa & Champions league all have seen under 2.5 cards,

His average in the Netherlands Eredivise is also lenient, averaging just 2.31 yellows per match this season over 16 games.

Different circumstances the fact Porto lead this match 2-1 on aggregate but on paper this selection looks likely!

Nothing much standing out for me in the Dortmund pre match, may do an inplay if value shows!