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I just had all reasoning typed out for this selection and accidentally closed the app and it deleted everything I’ve put in... anyhow Re-typed!

Single :

Real Betis vs Alaves over 3.5 cards inplay @ Evens

(Read bold writing at bottom of this post)

Advising stake 5 points (5% of balance)

Reasoning :

Looking at this pre match the line was 3.5 on this market at 8/13, having checked their last 5 recent h2h’s I expected it to be higher, here’s stats from their last 5 meetings 👇🏼

6 yellows - September 2020

9 yellows, 2 reds - July 2020

10 yellows, 1 red - January 2020

5 Yellows - February 2019

4 yellows - August 2018

Only concern for this selection is the ref has a low average handing them out, he has given a total of 50 yellows in past 17 matches (2.9 per match this season)

The fact that the underdogs are currently 2-0 up away from home and Betis are dominating with 78% possession in the 1st half expect them to park the bus and foul a lot after the break, Alaves already picked up 2 yellows in the 1st half.

The line is currently (over 4.5 at 4/7) I’m advising to wait until Betis score next goal or around the 60-65th min get on over 3.5 @ Evens. Reasoning why I’m not taking 4.5 is because the foul count is currently low at 5-3.

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