Football Inplay ⚽️ (Currently Half Time) (Patreon)
Content
I just had all reasoning typed out for this selection and accidentally closed the app and it deleted everything I’ve put in... anyhow Re-typed!
Single :
Real Betis vs Alaves over 3.5 cards inplay @ Evens
(Read bold writing at bottom of this post)
Advising stake 5 points (5% of balance)
Reasoning :
Looking at this pre match the line was 3.5 on this market at 8/13, having checked their last 5 recent h2h’s I expected it to be higher, here’s stats from their last 5 meetings 👇🏼
6 yellows - September 2020
9 yellows, 2 reds - July 2020
10 yellows, 1 red - January 2020
5 Yellows - February 2019
4 yellows - August 2018
Only concern for this selection is the ref has a low average handing them out, he has given a total of 50 yellows in past 17 matches (2.9 per match this season)
The fact that the underdogs are currently 2-0 up away from home and Betis are dominating with 78% possession in the 1st half expect them to park the bus and foul a lot after the break, Alaves already picked up 2 yellows in the 1st half.
The line is currently (over 4.5 at 4/7) I’m advising to wait until Betis score next goal or around the 60-65th min get on over 3.5 @ Evens. Reasoning why I’m not taking 4.5 is because the foul count is currently low at 5-3.