Tennis Single 🎾 /8am (Patreon)

Australia open next month and we will clean up from these type of selections as Paddy power/Bet 365 tend to make price mistakes regularly on this specific market in a lot of the match ups.

ATP Antalya Final /

Alexander Bublik over 4.5 player Double faults @ 5/6

Advising stake 12 points (12% of balance)

Reasoning :

For majority of you have been following me in the past we’ve Profit a lot from bookmakers offering odds on double faults/aces in tennis majors, part of the reason my paddy power account was closed.. because this is a final, bet 365 and paddy power have offered odds on these unusual markets, Bet 365 offering 4.5 while paddy power offering 5.5 at 4/5 which is worse value and an extra one would be required so recommend doing this on Bet 365,

Bubliks 4 matches this week he’s scored ,

2 in 2 sets, 7 in 2 sets, 3 in sets and in the semi final 11 in 3 sets,

Averaging 5.75 per match this week & an average of 2.3 per sets played, match is 1st to 2 sets and both players only lost 1 set each in their 4 matches played this week so even if it doesn’t go 3 sets should be a close enough match, I’ve noticed players tend to score more double faults than average when in a final as nerves/pressure etc. his opponent De Minaur isn’t really renoun for getting double faults as often, he scored 1,0,3, 0 (3 sets) this week, averaging just 1 per match.

Odds of Evens for Minaur under 1.5 DF’s on bet 365 while paddy power have 1.5 priced at odds 4/6.

Screenshots of the odds/price differences from bet 365 and paddy power in the comments below.

For those that are new or don’t understand, these screenshots below show that Bet 365 is offering better value for this selection.