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Originally was looking at the Ac Milan match booking points over 30 paying evens then in space of 2 mins there’s 2 yellows and red which landed that.

Bayern vs Mainz over 30 booking points @ 4/5 (currently half time)

Advising stake 10 points (10% of balance) @ 4/5

Reasoning :

Bayern find themselves 2-0 down at home, and if they don’t pick up at least a point tonight leipzig will sit top of the Bundesliga, expect a scrappy 2nd half foul count is 6-5. Boateng who already got carded in the 1st half just fouled again with Mainz on the counter attack before scoring a 2nd end of 1st half, so he’ll be on a warning to get a red.

Referee Markus Schmidt has a season average of 33 in last 8 matches (4.1 per match) 4 reds in his last 7 matches.

(Sky bet, bet 365 & betway odds of 4/5 for over 30 and paddy power have same odds for over 40 so avoid using PP)

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