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SITREP 587 is 74 pages, and as you read this, it has been 23 months since Russia expanded its war of aggression against Ukraine.

What's Happening

What's the big story? The first clear day in months that aligned with Sentinel 2-LA satellite passes provided outstanding ISR. Ukrainian forces have made gains in three AOs.

What's the second story? A Russian Il-76 crashed near Belgorod with the loss of 63 crew and passengers onboard, causing Russian propagandists to panic.

Bonus Story: Six dead Russian colonels.

Bonus Bonus Story: Putin's purge goes into overdrive, targeting every aspect of Russian life.

Summary

  •  There are map updates
  •  There are assessment updates
  •  There are rumor updates
  •  Fighting continued in the Kupyansk AO
  •  Russian missiles struck the city of Kharkiv for the third time in 24 hours, wounding at least nine
  •  Russia used a Kh-22 supersonic cruise missile in its attacks on Khakriv
  •  Fighting continued in the Savatove AO
  •  Fighting continued in the Kreminna AO
  •  Ukrainian forces advanced east of Terny and Yampolivka
  •  Fighting continued in the Lysychansk AO
  •  Russian forces appear to have entered an operational pause in the Soledar, Bakhmut, and Klischiivka AOs
  •  Fighting continued northwest and southwest of Bakhmut
  •  Fighting continued near Klishchiivka
  •  Fighting continued in the Avdiivka AO
  •  Ukrainian forces regained control of the Tsarska Okhota resort and southern Avdiivka
  •  Clear weather provided excellent satellite ISR
  •  Fighting continued in the Marinka AO
  •  Russian forces made marginal gains west of Marinka
  •  Fighting continued in the Vuhledar AO
  •  Fighting continued in the Hulyaipole AO, with satellite ISR confirming the existing line of conflict and previous reports of fighting
  •  Light fighting continued in the Orikhiv AO
  •  Ivan Fedorov has been named the new Zaporizhzhia Oblast OVA
  •  Fighting continued in the Kherson AO
  •  Russian artillery and airstrikes killed two civilians in free Kherson
  •  The Russian Black Sea Fleet has 12 vessels on patrol, including two missile carriers
  •  A Russian missile hit the Sumy Oblast city of Shostka, destroying “critical infrastructure”
  •  A Russian Il-76 heavy transport aircraft was shot down and crashed near Belgorod, killing 63
  •  Russia claims a Ukrainian drone struck the oil depot in Zheca, Bryansk, Russia
  •  Russia has started placing S-300 air defense systems around St. Petersburg
  •  In the Russian city of Vladivostok, two major electrical substations simultaneously exploded
  •  Russia only launched 42 ground attacks on January 23
  •  One of the Kh-101 cruise missiles shot down on January 23 was built in December 2023
  •  President Zelenskyy reported the Russian missile strikes killed 18 and wounded over 130
  •  The White House says that Russia is trying to overwhelm Ukrainian air defenses, and ammunition is critically low
  •  Prime Minister Fico of Slovakia repeated Kremlin talking points about life being normal in Ukraine
  •  Ukrainian GUR Colonel Oleg Babii was killed in action on August 30 after leading a sabotage raid into Russia that destroyed a Tu-22M3 bomber and disabled two more
  •  The U.S. DOJ charged Russian-Israeli-U.S. citizen Ilya Kahn with a scheme that shipped sensitive semiconductors to Russia and is facing 20 years in prison
  •  The Turkish government approved Sweden's accession to the NATO Alliance
  •  Prime Minister of Hungary Orban, asked Sweden to negotiate for his approval to join NATO
  •  U.S. Secretary of Defense said there is no evidence Ukraine has misappropriated funds or weapons and repeated the U.S. has no more funds to support Kyiv
  •  Ukrainian Minister of Defense Umerov said that Russia has a 6:1 artillery advantage, and it is getting worse
  •  Canada and Germany announced new military aid packages
  •  NATO announced it had signed contracts to buy $1.2 billion in 155 mm ammunition rounds for Ukraine
  •  Ukraine announced it would receive a new weapon system from an unknown ally that will be the first of its kind
  •  The U.K. provided the U.N. with evidence that North Korea is supplying Russia with arms
  •  Destroyed military aid meant for Russian troops was found in an occupied Donetsk landfill
  •  Russian Lieutenant Colonel Andrey Kharchenko, the deputy regimental commander for military and political work of the 1125th Motor Rifle Regiment, was killed in action
  •  Russian Lieutenant Colonel Nikolay Manshin died of a heart attack during fighting
  •  Russian Lieutenant Colonel Evgeniy Dragunovsky, battalion commander of combat engineers, was killed in action
  •  Russian Lieutenant Colonel Nikolay Samarin of the 24th Motor Rifle Regiment was killed in action
  •  Russian Lieutenant Colonel Igor Kompaneets of the 26th Motor Rifle Regiment was killed in action 
  •  Russian Colonel Roman Torokhov was killed in action
  •  Major Viktor Klymov, test pilot and the deputy training commander of the 1338th Shchelkovo Test Center, Chkalovsky Military Airfield, Moscow, was killed in action
  •  Russia is mounting RBU-6000 antisubmarine missile launchers onto T-80 tank hulls
  •  Russian milblogger Murz reported that the Russian Combat Aura Dome 10 drone EW system is useless
  •  Mothers and wives in occupied Donetsk and Luhansk are demanding that troops be demobilized, with some fighting since February 19, 2022 (no, that date is not a typo; that’s the date Russian state media used – take all the time you need)
  •  Russian propagandist Danil Bezsonov said the quiet part aloud when it comes to what would happen if Russia occupies all of Ukraine
  •  Russian State Duma Deputy Mikhail Matveev was forced to apologize to Colonel General Ramzan Kadyrov after making anti-Muslim statements
  •  The Russian State Duma is advancing legislation that would permit the state to confiscate the property from dissidents and their spouses and children
  •  Dozens have been arrested in Bashkortostan after last week’s protests in support of activist Fail Alsynov
  •  Russia continues to maintain the Vulcan Protocol in Bashkortostan, restricting communications and Internet access
  •  A Russian is facing 5 to 7 years in prison for writing on VK, “Handsome guy who did this,” in response to a post about a Ukrainian drone strike in Moscow
  •  The FSB arrested Russian anti-war blogger Sergei Veselov for “justification of terrorism”
  •  Russian security forces searched the home of Crimean Tatar leader Nazim Memetov, accusing him of weapons trafficking
  •  Officials in the Russian city of Novosibirsk refused to approve a protest over the crumbling heating system that injured more than a dozen, calling it a threat to state security
  •  The Anti-War Committee of Russia is an “undesirable” organization after a denunciation was written against Russian State Duma Deputy Andrey Lugovoi
  •  Metropolitan Leonid Gorbachev, a former close associate of dead PMC Wagner Group leader Yevgeny Prigozhin, was stripped of his roles within the Russian Orthodox Church
  •  Russia shut down the Khakassia news agency for not following propaganda guidelines
  •  The novel Heritage, written by Vladimir Sorokin, has been removed from stores after a denunciation was filed against the author for spreading LGBT and pedophile propaganda
  •  Roskachestvo has set new guidelines for toys in Russia and has opened an investigation into Barbie
  •  The U.K. has softened travel restrictions to part of Ukraine
  •  Kyrgyzstan filed a complaint with the Russian government about the treatment of detained undocumented workers
  •  France warns that if Russia wins its war of aggression, it will control 30% of the global wheat market
  •  In December 2023, Exports of Ukrainian grain were up over 50% compared to December 2022
  •  Apple paid an antitrust fine to Russia of $13.3 million and, in doing so, revealed the California company is still conducting business in Russia


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Comments

Anonymous

When the RMOD claims fighting is occurring somewhere where nobody else is reporting it, could it be that individual units are lying to stay safe? Whenever I am feeling sorry for myself, I just read these reports and realize how damn lucky I am

Anonymous

I guess I have diarrhea of the finger this morning, but is the GOP taking notes from Russia or is Russia taking notes from the GOP?

Anonymous

Democrats are refusing to allow primary challenges to President Biden from other Democrats in multiple states. Name some countries in the worth that refuse to allow other candidates on the ballot? If you guess Russia and Iran than you would be correct