Russia-Ukraine SITREP for 28 OCT 2023 20:45 PDT - Bridgehead on the Konka River (Patreon)

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SITREP 534 is 48 pages and a full report.

What's Happening

What's the big story? The subject says it all - Ukraine has established a bridgehead on the left bank of the Konka River and continues its shaping operation in Kherson.

What's the second story? Russian forces continued their operational pause in the Avdiivka AO, and there are indications that they aren't ready to restart fighting at the same intensity - yet.

Summary

•  Ukrainian forces have established a bridgehead on the left bank of the Konka River in Kherson
•  The table for Russian versus Ukrainian heavy equipment losses using information from the former Oryx Database has been updated as of October 28, 2023
•  There are map updates
•  High winds caused widespread power outages across Ukraine and killed at least four people, impacting the amount of information available through social intelligence
•  The high winds caused a significant reduction in the number of airstrikes and drone attacks and prevented frontline troops from flying smaller reconnaissance drones, slowing operational tempo
•  Fighting restarted in the Kupyansk AO in Kharkiv with no change in the situation
•  Ukrainian forces advanced toward the Zherebets River, reaching the western edge of Serhiivka
•  Russian forces continued their attacks near Khromove
•  Fighting continued in the Klishchiivka AO with no change in the situation
•  Russian tank operators in the Klishchiivka AO reported they can only operate at night and can’t come closer than 8 to 9 kilometers to the LOC due to Ukrainian drones
•  Russian forces continue their attempts to advance from the Krasnohorivka Plateau towards Stepove
•  Based on new intelligence, we’ve overestimated Russian control of the railroad tracks northeast of the Avdiivka Coke Plant
•  In Avdiivka, a stubborn pensioner and her cat Masha are Internet-famous 
•  Russian sources claimed the primary offensive is north of Avdiivka and fighting on the south flank are subordinate attacks
•  Russian forces are remotely mining the Ukrainian position and the no man’s land between, suggesting the ongoing operational pause is going to be extended
•  The situation in the Orikhiv AO remains stable
•  WarGonzo claimed that Ukrainian forces continue to make marginal gains west of Robotyne and north of Nesteryanka
•  There are unconfirmed reports of Ukrainian drone strikes in occupied Crimea
•  Ukrainian forces have established a bridgehead at Krynyk and are maintaining their landings at Pishchanivka and Dachi
•  The Birds of Magyar (jagga jagga) are holding fire control on the approaches to Krynyk
•  Czech President Petr Pavel warns that if Ukraine falls, Europe falls
•  New Minister of Defense of Slovakia Robert Kaliniak wants to “revise” its defense treaty with the United States
•  Chechen Akhmat claims that PMC Wagner mercenaries are joining “en masse”
•  PMC Wagner Telegram channels say they are not joining Akhmat
•  Russian propagandist Maryana Naumova may be in trouble for telling too much truth about the poor conditions in the occupied territories
•  Russian Forces have introduced a new kamikaze drone called Italmas, which is a smaller, cheaper, domestically developed Shahed-136 knock-off
•  The Brigade Commander of the Russian 810th Naval Infantry was awarded Hero of Russia for getting 80% of his brigade killed or wounded over the summer
•  Members of the Russian 155th Naval Infantry are complaining they have not been rotated in over a year
•  United States and European companies are supplying Russia with the parts needed to make Kh-47 Kinzhal and Iskander short-range ballistic missiles
•  We have an update on the strange story of the Russian commander who ordered three of his soldiers killed in August 2023 to hide a murder
•  Seven Ukrainians are stuck between the Russian and Georgian border
•  The bodies of 50 Ukrainian soldiers were repatriated
•  Officials have confirmed that the Chinese container ship NewNew Polar Bear damaged the Balticconnector pipeline with its anchor, but it remains unclear why
•  Russia raised its prime lending rate from 13% to 15%

Malcontent News Russia Ukraine War Podcast for yesterday is live.

Marina Yevshan covers the events that happened on and off the battlefield.

• 01:28 Today's Assessment
• 03:01 Brief Updates
• 03:44 The Donbas - Northeast Donetsk
• 04:22 The Donbas - Southwest Donetsk
• 07:42 Zaporizhzhia
• 08:30 Black Sea
• 08:51 Black Sea - Romania
• 09:02 Odesa
• 09:35 Kherson
• 10:46 Russian Front
• 12:04 Theaterwide

You can listen to both podcasts through the Megaphone web app and your favorite podcast provider, including,

• Apple Podcasts
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• Spotify
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