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This is Report 479, which is 58 pages and combat only.

Announcement

We are very excited to announce that author, activist, journalist, and war correspondent Zarina Zabrisky will be the new host and producer for the Russia-Ukraine War Update Podcast. The first episode will be on September 6, 2023. There will be a co-host joining Zabrisky, who will take over the daily battlefield updates, but we're not quite ready to announce who that is. We are very excited to have Zabrisky join our team and bring her years of journalism experience and understanding of Russia and Ukraine to our world.

What's the big story? Ukrainian forces are advancing south and southeast of Robotyne.

What's the second story? The Yevgeny Prigozhin show goes on. Russia confirms he is dead, and in our assessment, a purge not seen since the previous century is starting.

Summary

  •  We have added Russia’s prebuilt defensive lines to the war map
  •  Russian troop concentrations in occupied Kharkiv and Luhansk are large but configured for defensive operations
  •  Skirmishes continued northeast of Kupyansk with no evidence of Russian advances
  •  Russian forces attempted to advance on Novojehorivka
  •  Heavy fighting continued in Klishchiivka, Andriivka, and Kurdyumivka
  •  Ukrainian forces heavily shelled Russian positions in and around the Donetsk International Airport region for hours
  •  Skirmishes and positional fighting continued in the Avdiivka and Marinka areas of operation (AO)
  •  Ukrainian forces made tactically significant gains near Novoprokopivka
  •  Mutual fighting was ongoing near Kopani as Russian forces attempted to push the Ukrainian flanks at Orikhiv
  •  A large fire erupted at the Dormash Plant in Berdyansk, which Russian forces use to store equipment
  •  A large Russian ammunition depot was reportedly destroyed in Tokmak
  •  British intelligence believes that Russian and Ukraine are fighting for control of the Boika Towers
  •  The bulk carrier Primus left Odesa for the second time and is en route to Bulgaria
  •  Reports of chaos among the members and commanders of the Russian 205th Batallion in the Nova Kakhovka area are true
  •  Russian troops, a mortar position, and military war correspond were attacked in Oleshky in separate incidents
  •  Russian claims two Ukrainian Beaver kamikaze drones were shot down near Brysansk
  •  Ukraine attacked the Kursk Airfield with 16 cardboard kamikaze drones, but the reported results are questionable
  •  Russian propagandist Margarita Simoyan complained that a second Ukrainian drone was shot down near her house
  •  Ukrainian President Volodymyr Zelenskyy gave a long interview about the status of the war and Ukraine’s future
  •  The Investigative Service of the Russian Federation announced that DNA testing confirmed Yevgeny Prigozhin died in a plane crash, along with the other nine people listed on the passenger and crew manifest
  •  The Kremlin reportedly told Syrian officials that PMC Wagner will end operations in the Middle East by October 1
  •  The first 1,000 122 mm artillery shells from a joint Ukrainian-NATO nation factory were distributed in Ukraine
  •  Finland is providing its 18th military aid package to Ukraine valued at 94 million euros
  •  Latvia is providing Ukraine with a Mi-17 helicopter
  •  Greece terminated its maintenance contracts with Russia and is decommissioning its Tor-M1 and Osa-AKM air defense systems
  •  One of the Russian senior military leaders of explosive ordnance disposal engineers was murdered in Starobelsk
  •  Russian sources claim Ukraine will mobilize 200,000 troops in the fall, while Ukrainian sources claim Russia plans to mobilize 450,000
  •  Co-founder of the militant Neo-Nazi Ruisch Group, Yan Petrovsky, was arrested by Finnish officials when he tried to cross the border under an assumed name
  •  Former FSB colonel and convicted war criminal Igor Streklov Girkin was seen by a doctor and is reported to be in better health
  •  Ukraine repatriated 11 more children from Russia
  •  Crimean Tatar Rinat Ablynakimov was taken by Russian troops from his home in Shchaslytsive and was executed
  •  Russian President Vladimir Putin instructed the State Duman to investigate the benefits of loosening child labor laws
  •  In the so-called Donetsk People’s Republic, the Director General of Makeevugol said there is a “catastrophic” labor shortage
  •  Russia has suspended its Rural Mortgage Program due to the prime lending rate reaching 12%
  •  The Russian rouble started the new week where it ended last week, continuing its decline against the dollar

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Comments

Anonymous

Did you reveal the envelope yet or did I miss it? Thanks

AnaR737

https://www.washingtonpost.com/world/2023/08/28/prigozhin-putin-state-funeral-wagner/ This is actually quite an interesting conundrum: how to bid farewell to the man who first did not exist, then he existed, then he was a hero of Russia, then a traitor, then pardoned and then murdered by those who had pardoned him, who in turn now have to decide whether or not to give him military honors. I am sure the best and brightest minds in the Kremlin will come up with some sort of solution....

TheMalcontent

My wife and I JUST talked about this (I wasn't aware of the WaPo story) and the whole timeline you just laid out. Few Russians publicly believe that Prigozhin was assassinated (a larger minority privately due - but only a 1/3 of the total population). Don't give him the full honors? That goes against the "we didn't do it" narrative. Give him full honors? Does that turn him into a martyr?

TheMalcontent

Held off a day because of the huge artillery barrage on the outskirts of Donetsk - I am heading to the studio today or will do it at my messy office desk.

AnaR737

I guess the web of lies is tightening into a straitjacket. You can't come up with a narrative that fits all the major highlights in a cohesive way that is not perilous for one constituency or the other, and all possible narratives expose glaring contradictions that can be traced to the very recent past. It is a real case of pick your poison or damned if you do, damned if you don't. Do you bury a pardoned traitor with honors? Do you not honor the maverick conqueror of Bakhmut who gave his life for Russia? How do you bury the leaders of a "non existent" entity that received billions from the state? The charisma of a man like Prigozhin leaves a mark, and now that he is dead, he will become a legend. Don Corleone would go to the funeral. We'll see what Putin does.....

Anonymous

When your information is full of lies, half truths and contradictions, and you live with the implicit threat of arrest or persecution if you challenge any of it publicly, and you also can’t trust many in private, then you lose your bearings. This is what Hannah Arendt wrote about and of course George Orwell. Russia is regressing back into soviet style totalitarianism. Putin wants the elites to know he had Prigozhin assassinated. He knows ordinary Russians will believe one of the many conspiracy theories the Russian media will generate for them. Yesterday it was that this was NATO and Ukrainian terrorism. He might have more problems with the ultra nationalists but he’s not finished purging their ranks I think.