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Russia-Ukraine SITREP for 27 JULY 2023 23:59* - Ukraine Had a Very Good Day (Patreon)

Published:
2023-07-28 09:43:20
Imported:
2023-08

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Content

Are you new to our Patreon? You need to click on the link to download the PDF attachment, which has links to all the videos referenced in the podcast.

This is Report 449, which is 50 pages long and combat only! 

What's the big story? Ukraine made gains measured in kilometers in several areas of operation over the last 24 hours. 

What's the second story? Russian forces are suffering devastating losses as complaints about a lack of reserve troops, troops being rushed to the front untrained, and ammunition shortages grow.

Bonus Content: A subscriber asked us to reshare the Military Terms document, and so by request, it is attacked to this Situation Report. 

Help! Someone messaged us about a correction, and we were going to issue an error and omission, and your message is - gone. If you're reading this and that is you, please message us.

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Comments

Anonymous

We’ve had weeks of the experts in the media telling us that the counteroffensive is slow, stalled or worse. It has been grinding and attritional and we understand why. This week feels like a significant one for Ukraine. Entering into a new phase. However if the Russians are prepared to exhaust their reserves and artillery defending low value territory, rather than retreat to more sustainable positions, then why not let them? It’ll mean less resistance behind the lines of defence. Ukraine’s tactics appear to be working. They shouldn’t be pressured to show more territorial gains faster if this can’t be achieved without catastrophic losses.

AnaR737
>>113930588

I don't know much about military strategy and tactics, but Russia is really acting out in the geopolitical side of things in a way that feels like they are pulling all the stops. Reading Putin's speech yesterday to the African leaders was like reading the sermon of some mean preacher who needs to convince his congregation that everyone else is lying to them for them to keep coming to bend the knee. Free grain now means prohibitive grain not so far in the future, and when that time comes these leaders will still be in power and in need to feed their nations. They may be authoritarian, but they are not stupid. I guess my sense is Russia may be pushing a little to far and it is working for now (Niger), but it may backfire sooner than they think. It feels to me that actions are being triggered either because some enterprising guy like Prigozhin is doing his thing without input from other parts of the government or because they just have not thought through Plan D. Just a thought.

Anonymous
>>113930588

The actual quantities of "free grain" offered (which are probably stolen from Ukraine) is a small fraction of what will be lost from Ukraine (and less than the grain already destroyed by Russian missiles). I find the headlines of "Putin offers free grain to African countries" very disappointing and frustrating. Why do western news media keep repeating Russian propaganda? Definitely the Putin regime wants global chaos and to threaten the "global order". And they want to distract their own population away from a disastrous war. However I think China and the African nations know that nobody benefits from increased food prices and food insecurity and this is destabilizing. The Russian regime is increasingly desperate and reckless and they are not building or maintaining strong alliances. I predict that next year's Russia-Africa summit will need to be moved to a boutique hotel in St Petersburg.

AnaR737
>>113930588

Who in his or her right mind strikes a "deal" with the guy who bombs the hand that feeds you. Or if you do, you do it at your own peril. Propaganda works as long as you are not hungry.

Anonymous
>>113930588

Unfortunately there are leaders who care only about maintaining and consolidating their own power and wealth (and for the elite who support them) and don't care about the welfare of their own citizens, let alone that of other peoples in the world. I've heard the Prigozhin "service offering" described as "autocracy in a box". It's more than just the provision of mercenaries.

AnaR737
>>113930588

Yes, Mark Galeotti calls it "autocrat services" or something along those lines. You are absolutely right but mouths to feed are mouths to feed everywhere and anywhere. And in places where daily food is the main concern for the largest portion of the population, I do not see how it can be good to have people go hungry, even if they are downtrodden, terrified and leaderless. I see what you are saying but the faustian deal comes with strings attached.

AnaR737

https://www.rt.com/russia/580465-explosion-taganrog-missile/

Anonymous
>>113930588

Or blows up the dam that feeds Crimia (provides irrigation to Crimian farmland.)

Anonymous
>>113930588

Yes I am misquoting Mark Galeotti -- who must be the best Kremlinogist outside of MI6 and the CIA. "Faustus spends his last hour in wishful thoughts of ways to escape his impending doom. There is no repentance, though, and in the end, he is carried off to hell to spend eternity separated from God."