Russia-Ukraine Flash Report 04 OCT 2022 08:50 EDT - Russians Retreat (Patreon)

Russian forces have abandoned their defensive positions from Davydiv Brid to Starosillya to prevent becoming encircled. Thousands of troops are chaotically retreating back to Beryslav and Nova Kakhovka. 

Our July 28 assessment that the Russian defensive lines from Arkhanhelske to Vysokopillya was critical to holding the region was accurate. Once Russia lost control of Novopetrivka, the last "island" in the sea of wheat on the original defense line, everything north of the Ukrainian Inhulets River Bridgehead became undefendable due to a lack of viable supply lines.

Russian forces are likely to suffer catastrophic losses in their retreat and will almost certainly abandon equipment and limited caches of ammunition. We are not expecting to see the same amount of ammunition and equipment like in Kharkiv due to the supply issues Russian troops suffered.

We want to temper our reader's excitement and remind you that this area has been under solid Russian control since early March. A number of war crimes will likely be discovered in the coming days.