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OA563: Microsoft, Activision, and Monopoly Law! (Patreon)

Published:
2022-01-24 05:38:17
Imported:
2022-10

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Content

There was huge news in the gaming industry as Microsoft announced a deal to acquire Activision! You may remember Activision from such episodes as OA513: California v. Activision Blizzard, Inc in which we covered some of the disgusting sexist behavior that has landed the company in hot water. How does that affect this acquisition? Well, you might be surprised! Listen in!
Links: 15 US Code § 1 - Trusts, etc, 15 US Code § 2 - Monopolizing trade a felony; penalty, MICROSOFT HALTS MERGER WITH INTUIT - The Washington Post, United States v. Microsoft Corp, United States v. Microsoft Corp., 97, US v. Microsoft, 253 F.3d 34 (2001)

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Comments

Anonymous

Listening to Andrew educate Thomas on the state of PC programs/operating systems in the 80s made me laugh. I wrote my Masters thesis on an early PC using Word Perfect (aka “Dino-write”). I can’t tell you the frustration of printing out a 100 page thesis only to find out you entered a page break instead of a paragraph break or misformatted your columns of data. I killed a lot of trees that year.

Anonymous

Andrew used the stock price of Activision as an indicator of investors' uncertainty over whether the deal will close, stating that if you're 100% certain, then you should be willing to pay up to $94.99 for a stock that Microsoft has said it will give you $95 for. While it's true you can gauge some uncertainty from the current price, the example given would only be true if the deal were scheduled to close immediately. As Andrew stated, however, the deal is not scheduled to close until July 2023. So the current valuation also has to price-in the opportunity cost of parking that money for 18 months. For example, if you believe other investments will yield 10% in that same time, then even if you were fully certain of the Activision deal closing, you should only be willing to pay about $86 ($95/1.1) for Activision stock at present.