latest military news. (Patreon)
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Over the past month, almost no changes have occurred at the front; endless attacks by the Russians have not changed the front line.
On December 26, Ukraine destroyed a large Russian landing ship carrying a large cargo of missiles.
On December 29, Russia carried out its largest attack with missiles and drones from different directions, in total more than 160 weapons.
On January 2, another massive shelling using 10 Kinzhal ballistic missiles. A total of 127 missiles.
On January 3, 2024, an exchange of prisoners took place. 230 Ukrainians to 248 Russians. 180 of whom are prisoners. The Russians do not want to take their soldiers; they refused to exchange for six months. There are many high-ranking officers in captivity, but they will not be taken away. This is a different story.
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2023 is over. The world continues its life, but our war continues, so I cannot remain silent and will talk about it. People are dying every day, both civilian and military.
I listen to military analytics for about 2-3 hours every day, I want to at least keep my audience informed of what is happening in our country.
What happened in the war this year?
Neither Ukraine nor Russia were able to change the front line. Both armies are dug in and to make a breakthrough you need a VERY significant advantage. Russia is trying to use the tactics of a fiery rampart and meat assaults (with gigantic losses), but even this allows them to advance only a few kilometers per year.
What will happen next?
Let me remind you that from a historical point of view, this is the largest military conflict since the Second World War. But the problem is that this could very well escalate into World War III. Unfortunately, this situation is most reminiscent of the situation in 1938, when Germany captured the Czech Republic. Europe did not conflict with Germany on this issue, but tried to gently end the conflict. This allowed Hitler to finally strengthen his army and military-industrial complex.
It's the same now. Europe and the United States fully support Ukraine and provide all possible assistance, except assistance to achieve victory. Without giving into the hands of Ukraine the weapons that could end the war. They are trying to make the flames of war go out on their own. Ukraine is even prohibited from firing weapons from Europe and the United States on Russian territory. At this time, Putin used all weapons except nuclear weapons throughout the year, destroyed cities, established ties with Iran, North Korea and secretly China. Russia is second in the world in weapons production, building new factories and purchasing machine tools from European companies to produce new weapons, missiles and drones. She's preparing hard for what? Now they are purchasing missiles, but in a year or two they will produce so many that they will be enough not only for Ukraine, but for the whole of Europe. Russia has a lot of money and resources.
At this moment, throughout the fall, the following topic has been raised in the world press: Ukraine’s counteroffensive has failed, which means we need to come to an agreement. But the one who says this does not understand what is happening at all. What kind of negotiations? What should Putin talk about? He is satisfied with everything, everything is going as it should, the goal has been achieved - the whole world has allowed him to fight. He wanted it, and he was actually allowed to do it. Look from the other side - if he stops the war, he will become a losing leader, the people will ask him: what was all this for? where is the victory? his ratings will fall and he may lose power. So the war will not end. I'm afraid this is just the beginning. There will be no negotiations, or they will be fictitious negotiations.
Of course, I’m not the smartest, I’m sure that there are centers for analytics and information collection where scenario options and forecasts are developed. But I look at the facts that have already happened. Today is the 684th day of the war. The war has been going on for 2 years. Nobody is doing anything to stop this. It is already clear that they will not give us weapons for victory. Sanctions don't work. Help for Ukraine is becoming less and less every day. Russia is gaining military momentum, propaganda is working 100% to convince the “holy” Russian people that their destiny is to fight rotten Europe and America. Based on all this, it is obvious that the war is gaining momentum. World War III is getting closer.
A normal person will say: - Why would Putin attack Europe? What nonsense. Putin only needs Ukraine.
If someone had said in 1938 that the capture of the Czech Republic would lead to World War II, everyone would have laughed and said that he was crazy. Germany was very much integrated into Europe and everyone was striving for peace, since the pain from the 1st World War had not yet left the people. Why would Hitler attack European countries? he had complaints only against the Czech Republic. He won't go any further. Most people thought so.
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I am an optimist and always hope for the best. Let's see how events will go further. Something unexpected might happen. Or some cunning plan to contain the aggressor will work. Let it be. In the meantime, every morning I wake up and look at the sky and I can’t believe that the war has been going on for 2 years already.