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Here's a new Patreon feature for the new season, thanks to Scott (@oh_that_crab). Every week we'll be posting match simulations that show the likelihood of various outcomes of each Premier League match. If you have questions about the graphics, just ask Scott on Discord!

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Anonymous

Why is the draw chance different for the goal difference plot vs. the winning% plot? Are they different models?

Anonymous

Interesting, than you. You're spot on vs 538 for a lot of the more even matches. Interestingly you underestimate pool a lot and overestimate arsenal a lot. Given 538 have us at 25% of top 4, I certainly hope that you're more accurate on arsenal than they are!

Anonymous

Great stuff. Thank you!