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If you had ignored all the news and noise and just traded the calendar, you would have outperformed 99% of all investors. PS I've been trading history all year supported by tools and models. 

The graphic is a comparative chart illustrating the concept of seasonality in the stock market, specifically in the S&P 500 index. It shows two lines: one representing the average performance of the S&P 500 from 1950 to 2022 and another showing the performance in the year 2023. These lines are plotted against two different vertical axes, with the left axis showing the scale for the average year performance and the right axis for the year 2023.

The chart suggests that the S&P 500 in 2023 is following a similar pattern to the average of the past 72 years, with some variations.  This implies that if an investor had simply followed a seasonal investment strategy based on historical patterns rather than reacting to daily news or market "noise," they would have achieved better returns than 99% of investors.

Historical patterns can be a powerful tool for predicting and capitalizing on stock market performance. 

h/t Sanjay for the image

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Comments

Anonymous

How can you trade such a graph, for example?

Anonymous

So the 'Sell in May and go away' sort of rings true looking at the relative flatness of the Summer months.