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Tesla stock has a low correlation to the S&P 500. This means that the two stocks do not tend to move in the same direction. In fact, Tesla stock has often moved in the opposite direction of the S&P 500. For example, in 2020, when the S&P 500 fell by 34%, Tesla stock rose by 13%.

There are a number of reasons why Tesla stock has a low correlation to the S&P 500.

  • One reason is that Tesla is a growth stock. Growth stocks are typically more volatile than value stocks, and they are more likely to experience both large gains and large losses. The S&P 500, on the other hand, is a more diversified index, and it is less volatile than Tesla stock.
  • Another reason why Tesla stock has a low correlation to the S&P 500 is that Tesla is a disruptive company. Disruptive companies are companies that introduce new products or services that change the way an industry operates. Tesla is a disruptive company because it is the first major automaker to focus on electric vehicles. The electric vehicle market is still in its early stages, and it is growing rapidly. This growth is likely to benefit Tesla, but it is also likely to make Tesla's stock more volatile.
  • Finally, Tesla stock has a low correlation to the S&P 500 because of its CEO, Elon Musk. Elon Musk is a controversial figure who is known for his outspokenness and his willingness to take risks. Musk's tweets and public statements can have a significant impact on Tesla's stock price.

The 163 Level is still hanging in there despite a few dips...


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Comments

Anonymous

Elon musk mentioned he didn't want to sell TSLA stock to fund Twitter purchase and loans, is there a price point your eyeing up for senisble buy back like low $110, or do you think it's so undervalued he'd just by back at any point here with there large cash reserves?

Anonymous

He needs to tone down Point 3 and think deep how his rights to point 3 has a seismic effect on everything else. We all have rights to personal opinions but even on tweeter which is his platform, it can on tolerate you to say that much so as CEO who’s views are clearly correlated with performance of his products/business for some reasons, he should kind of ask himself if the negative outcomes of what he says out weighs the benefits of staying quiet before doing so. But that said, I like the guy! Just pleased at the moment that the markets conditions are giving me the opportunity to hit that Tesla bag target for 2023. Either way I am one of those patiently waiting till 2027 - 2030 at least. So as long as Tesla sticks to and implements their current and future future plans, I still believe in the end goal 99.99%.

Anonymous

Thank you James, always appreciate the info you provide. Curious question for you on FSD. Does FSD have any challenges for camera, sensor or AI being interfered with by different signals or frequencies? Similar to airlines asking for cell phones to be turned off on airplanes?

Anonymous

I am wondering will tesla go down more with SP500?(May rate increase + summer)

Anonymous

Practically makes sense to spend the cash on building more Tesla manufacturing centres to build up global dominance faster

Anonymous

James, I think that analysis was generated with chatgpt ( and other analysis over the last few days), am I right? ;) Not that there is anything wrong with that - I just noticed. The structure is slightly different than your usual writing patterns and it looks similar to my chatgpt sessions.

Anonymous

I have a 2018 tesla model x with full self driving and there is no interference from any of those things. It is unbelievable on how well it works on even road construction, dirt roads, and rural gravel roads. The public really has no idea how good it is, and tesla could really use some advertising to bring awareness to the FSD.

Anonymous

I dont see it. looks like the sp 500 is moving sideways and tesla is going up and down uncorrolated

Anonymous

Awesome insights, thank you!

Anonymous

Good catch! I think you’re right now that I look at it hahaha

Anonymous

Great insight James. Question - So if the public want disruption and the insiders dont how will this share price ever get to where we need it to go?

Anonymous

I came here to comment the same! Most of this post looks AI generated. Makes sense when you’re putting out this much content every day

Anonymous

Try putting up correlation coefficient w P-value on your Tradingview chart.

Anonymous

To see the things like James mentioned, Using a Correlation coefficient on our TradingView chart can be useful. Correlation coefficient w P-Value, can be easier to read for people not as familiar.

Anonymous

Elon being a contrarian is not all great. From what i gather, he's not very nice and provides bad work environment for employees. A CO worker of mine quite our company to go work as a manager at Tesla.. he was only there for a few months before coming back. Also, i didn't realize Tesla got removed from the s&p.. the reasons why speak for themselves... i think Elons companies are amazing at bringing new tech and solving engineering problems but with the rapid growth and development of technologies it may not be long before other companies who are nicer to their employees and not constantly causing problems and divides on Twitter will start taking larger chomps from Tesla. I am not rooting for this.. my largest holding is in Tesla.. i just don't like what I've been seeing the last couple years with his character.

Anonymous

cool thanks I tried that. as a newbie I used GPT to figure out what I was doing and I got an R value of -0.273 and GPT says that "R value, of -0.273 means that there is a weak negative correlation between two variables" Maybe Im doing something wrong.

Anonymous

Regardless of other allegations, I believe he is definitely not always helpful and can be quite the opposite sometimes. As a shareholder with a size able position (for me) I believe he is spread too thin, distracted, and can be reckless as hell. It’s one of the risks that I considered when I moved an 1/8 of my TSLA bag to what I deemed a “more stable” existing position in my portfolio. Glad I did. Too bad I didn’t move more. But one cannot think like that. Appropriate Rebalancing to account for risk is prudent. Markets are dynamic. Portfolios often need be managed accordingly.

Anonymous

Agreed and to have cash to roll out the next 3 models. I do believe he may surprise us with a vuv built on the cyber truck

Anonymous

I work in the auto industry. There aren't going to be any with "nice" environments. They are manufacturing. I think Tesla would be awesome because of the tech and vision.

Anonymous

Any further banking issues or conflict could affect the market significantly, imo, a black swan event would have at least a 15% chance. You have strings being held by jp gg etc. Irrational seems to be the norm. Remember only invest money you can afford to lose. Buying TSLA at this level and below long term would appear to be a smart move. NFA

Anonymous

If just looking at how much that line deviates from the mean works better for you, go that route. That’s why it’s there. Therein lay a lot of the value of these indicators we use.

Anonymous

I was just coming from the perspective of a shareholder and was not referring to anything to do w the factory or any political BS. I’m more concerned w his Twitter distractions. But, I don’t think you’re speaking at me anyway. I avoid these political things for a reason. I’ll stick to talking about investing. As I always do.

Anonymous

I saw somewhere the current administration is trying to stop Space X from further Starship launches. Is this true and if so your thoughts? What stops them from squashing Elon's other aspirations?

Anonymous

Tesla did not get removed from the S&P500 they were removed from the ESG S&P 500! Which I personally think exposes the ESG agenda as BS.

Anonymous

oh, really? can't trust any quick searches these days.. fuck. I have high hopes for Elons TruthGPT

Anonymous (edited)

Comment edits

2023-04-26 09:16:56 Thanks James, I think tesla is also following the market it’s a tech stock like Google & Amazon. ATM it’s also down but you know what’s not down, BTC & MSTR :) amazing! Appreciate your analysis as always
2023-04-26 05:22:29 Thanks James, I think tesla is also following the market it’s a tech stock like Google & Amazon. ATM it’s also down but you know what’s not down, BTC & MSTR :) amazing! Appreciate your analysis as always

Thanks James, I think tesla is also following the market it’s a tech stock like Google & Amazon. ATM it’s also down but you know what’s not down, BTC & MSTR :) amazing! Appreciate your analysis as always

Anonymous

Yup, Dan, I agree. The ESG argument is and was weak as hell.

Anonymous

Despite Elon I bought more TSLA today. I also bought more MSTR last week when it was down. I don’t want to work, nor befriend, EM or MS. I do, however, appreciate their business acumen and vision. Once again, James, I appreciate your efforts.