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Despite the challenges faced in 2022 between April and Early November, it's important to be cautious of perma bears.

Inside scoop, i started shorting stocks in 1999 and got really good at it.  I was so successful that it took me three years to overcome my Perma Bear mentality.

Some Important Statistics

  • The stock market has historically had a positive trend, going up over 73% of the time since 1926.
  • Over the last 100 years, 76% of years have been up years for the S&P 500
  • Up years are bigger than down years
  • In the last 152 years, the S&P 500 has had 1,065 up months, averaging a monthly increase of 1.66%
  • Since its inception, Bitcoin has had an average daily return of 0.51%.

I am reading so much doom and gloom from every angle - so many are saying Bitcoin is going to 11K ,,,, STILL and others are still saying the S&P 500 will be flat or down for the next decade.  That would be most unusual if true.

Overall, a strong psychology can help investors stay focused, disciplined, and objective, even in the face of market uncertainty and volatility. This can lead to better investment outcomes and greater long-term success.

Final word, Yes the macro and future is god awful right now but money printing inflates all assets.... and that is the big x factor right now... more so than ever before. 

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Comments

Anonymous

Love this - the more negative the sentiment, the more excited I get about buying. Buy fear, sell greed.

Anonymous

This is why on every portfolio agreement/account you sign it says: "past returns are no guarantee of future results." There always remains a chance that this time may very well be different. I am rotating out of all financial sector equities as we speak. Energy and healthcare are the only two sectors we'll play for a while other than BTC and Tesla.

Anonymous

Thanks for your informative wisdom

Anonymous

thanks brother

Anonymous

The market humbles both permabulls and permabears. I am weary of prognosticators who tell you they know what would happen in the future.

Anonymous

thanks for sharing james, so true

Anonymous

It would be great to have a video on your process and method for shorting stocks as an additional tool for when theeres an opportunity. Would you do this via a put option or a another approach also?

Anonymous

There is a name for this stage in the market cycle: disbelief.

Anonymous

Bury sees things early, just saying SELL is a dangerous as hell, could mean anything

Anonymous

Either way, refreshing to see someone say they were wrong, instead of going radio silent, or jumping on any form of excuse(s) why their view didn't go their way

Anonymous

Would have been good to short back in 2022 when the interest rate hikes started.

Anonymous

Ive been studying BNF, a Japanese trader. He prefered bear markets, but actually went long during them with great success. So regardless if its a bull or bear market you can make money in both :)

Anonymous

What was that tweet in reference to? Just curious.

Anonymous

James could you do a deep dive on Kava? Are they progressing so well as The graph did or something else drives it like speculation etc ? Some interesting news appeared about TVL .

Anonymous

https://youtu.be/xguam0TKMw8