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The number of put options at the $SPX 4050 strike price is quite massive. If the price experiences a significant downward movement, it could potentially lead to further declines. The market has tested this level three times before and appears to be heading towards a fourth attempt. The question remains whether this barrier will hold or break, and we will have to assess the situation based on how the market closes.

Gamma is a measure of the rate of change of an option's delta in response to changes in the underlying asset's price. The total gamma of the S&P 500 would be the sum of the gamma values of all the options contracts on the index, which would require access to real-time options data.

This is my chart, we are knocking on the door of 4050, trend is down, mean reversion is happening but no clear sell signal yet on Confluence. I was waiting for the upcoming 4200 to hedge as I upped it from 4100 but looks like I may have missed by 25 pts. 

Will watch carefully. 

This may or may not be the start of a new bull market, but one thing is clear: Sentiment has now flipped back to the bullish side—38% of the American Association of Individual Investors are bulls, only 25% bears. Woohoo


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Comments

Anonymous

Anything can happen. It always does.

Anonymous

Sometimes I forget to say thanks between all of my sh?! Posts. Thanks James! The updates are helpful. Very helpful.

Anonymous

Sorry about the stupid question but how would you hedge like 200 shares of TSLA fo example? Should I use the covered call strategy?

Anonymous

I just moved all my stop losses up to be in profit. So all set for bull or bust. Lfg.

Anonymous

If it falls could it hit 3800 which would be a higher low no?

Anonymous

Anyone else notice a pattern from 2021 back every three and a half years the Bullish sentiment is at a high? Seems interesting.

Anonymous

Lots of shorts building

Anonymous

James, I have a super interesting idea if you have spare time for SOL vs ETH metrics.

Anonymous

On February 8th, Carl Icahn publicly picked up $50 million dollars worth of S&P 500 puts using the SPX index at the $4050 strike price, expiring 2/17... magically we closed near 4050 yesterday. Thanks for the updates James, please let us know what you're thinking for Tuesday's stock market opening. I'm leaning bearish via $SQQQ based on this week's market action. I think we could go up a bit on Tues/Wed and then back down. Watching the DXY & VIX along with bond yields as other signals.

Anonymous

James, how do you feel about Silvergate $SI and Galaxy Digital $GLXY?

Anonymous

James, Would you be so kind and show us what a gamma squeeze looks

Anonymous

like and what it means.

Anonymous

Much appreciated James!